trader3106
0x7248b5d9ee2a817e34368bedf77ecf8fc29e2cb0
- Realised P&L
- $0.08
- Volume
- $383.11
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $3.33
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration72.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 1.0% before 2027? · Yes | 0.078 | 0.025 | $3.33 | −$7.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.06at 0.290Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
- +$3.02at 0.166Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
- +$-11.00at 0.270Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (March 22)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-25 06:17 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 1.0% before 2027? | BUY | 0.077843406 | $10.37 |
| 03-19 04:16 | Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (March 22) | BUY | 0.269999987 | $11.00 |
| 03-17 07:39 | Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs? | SELL | 0.47 | $21.03 |
| 03-03 07:29 | Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs? | BUY | 0.2899999886 | $12.98 |
| 03-03 07:26 | Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | SELL | 0.217 | $12.98 |
| 03-02 06:36 | Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | BUY | 0.1664984853 | $9.96 |