PolyBot

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Will StepFun have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-01
Resolves by
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.001. Unchanged over the period, from 0.001. Range 0.001 to 0.001. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.00168,66568,665
0.0081068,675
0.0111068,685
0.0121,06969,754
0.01377170,525
0.0234570,570
0.0245070,620
0.02810270,722
0.0314070,762
0.0348670,848
0.06910070,948
0.0705070,998

Spread—Mid—

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal

Spread—Mid—

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.99968,66568,665
0.9921068,675
0.9891068,685
0.9881,06969,754
0.98777170,525
0.9774570,570
0.9765070,620
0.97210270,722
0.9694070,762
0.9668670,848
0.93110070,948
0.9305070,998

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
midturn.rektYes31,083.8
donthackmeYes24,308.71
e46m3Yes15,821.47
caspar1248Yes14,933.72
HourglassYes14,356.4
LucerysYes13,275.55
0x8542adb70397e9de67ba9abe6971e3f50fb7a7bYes7,999.97
intermesterYes6,369.27
WarriorHYes5,541.64
VictorLudorumYes5,388.93
0xd32c…a4c2Yes4,883.43
0xD71776A8d4FdDeb3c150C4607B3f8bec31213B85-1778810464493Yes4,851
0xfBd8C9C22cA76B3662d0e53A4f79719FDC684027-1779347618060Yes4,775
mildwindow27Yes3,353.63
TyesAlexSolYes2,604.52
korda77Yes2,318.25
plainfolderYes2,180.84
merodYes2,150.64
kneelbeforethekingYes2,000
HaradwaithYes1,600

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
14:44:13BUYYes0.0011,000$1.00
04:53:31BUYYes0.00135698727,369$10.00
03:55:40SELLYes0.0012,630$2.63
18:09:49BUYNo0.99935$35.02
18:09:48BUYNo0.999250$249.75
18:09:48BUYNo0.99965$64.94
18:09:46BUYNo0.99968$68.16
18:09:46BUYNo0.999235$234.76
18:09:45BUYNo0.99925$24.98
16:47:55BUYNo0.99920$19.98
16:17:51BUYNo0.99919$18.98
16:17:51BUYNo0.999100$99.90
16:17:51BUYNo0.999100$99.90
16:09:16BUYNo0.9997$7.06
16:09:16BUYNo0.9999$9.02
16:09:16BUYNo0.9994$3.90
16:08:24BUYNo0.99942$42.16
16:08:18BUYNo0.9997$6.57
16:08:01BUYNo0.9997$7.04
16:07:52BUYNo0.99940$39.96
16:07:52BUYNo0.99939$38.96
16:07:49BUYNo0.99910$9.99
16:07:48BUYNo0.99943$42.91
16:07:46BUYNo0.99930$29.97
16:07:46BUYNo0.99923$23.13