PolyBot

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Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be less than $4.00T at the end of 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-31

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.050. down 0.092 over the period, from 0.142. Range 0.035 to 0.145. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0614040
0.0844080
0.08540120
0.08620140
0.09920160
0.101300460
0.20595555
0.20645600
0.20825625
0.28025650
0.28120670
0.282278948

Spread0.038Mid0.042

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0237373
0.022300373
0.015120493
0.0115499
0.01010509
0.0066514
0.00530544
0.00364608
0.002210818
0.0011,9042,722

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9777373
0.978300373
0.985120493
0.9895499
0.99010509
0.9946514
0.99530544
0.99764608
0.998210818
0.9991,9042,722

Spread0.038Mid0.958

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9394040
0.9164080
0.91540120
0.91420140
0.90120160
0.899300460
0.79595555
0.79445600
0.79225625
0.72025650
0.71920670
0.718278948

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0x9996…bda1Yes483.61
testingjpYes300.1
refuriYes221.23
Codm96Yes119.6
fi5hYes103.87
AJSVYes67.52
wantbehappyYes40
0x92Dcf851EbA53Bc192CBC659e28C2CE9BB665503-1770991727368Yes35.71
BornAgain26Yes27.42
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.Yes20
GenaTheBondKilIerYes14.03
LornaPredictsYes11.6
billygodYes3.08
0xa5ef…2966No602.63
dlbbbdbdbdblwNo287
marcopolosrhinoNo278.69
SemingurNo125
HDGBNo120.06
kitty07No20
0x53cd…ffcbNo11.69

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
06:55:30SELLYes0.024320178754$1.31
14:24:03BUYNo0.952999997910$9.57
21:03:35BUYNo0.97113$12.43
17:05:38BUYNo0.9710$9.72
13:30:42BUYYes0.0915884012109$10.00
00:36:29BUYYes0.095999996910$1.00
22:11:06BUYNo0.9517$16.55
22:11:04BUYNo0.9510$9.50
21:00:45SELLNo0.97950$48.95
00:26:07SELLYes0.06120$1.22
00:26:06BUYNo0.9369999997107$100.00
01:26:48BUYYes0.1927048069247$47.51
19:02:57BUYYes0.079724408763$5.00
12:08:30BUYYes0.055999999636$2.00
04:50:13BUYNo0.939999999432$30.00
04:27:31SELLYes0.0720$1.40
04:27:19SELLYes0.0540$2.00
04:27:09SELLYes0.057$0.37
04:26:58BUYNo0.9306930686107$100.00
21:55:49SELLYes0.080$0.03
17:27:49BUYNo0.925$4.60
17:13:04BUYNo0.925$4.60
13:40:06BUYYes0.0920$1.80
01:28:37BUYNo0.919999996311$10.00
01:28:07SELLYes0.0820$1.60