PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

refuri

0xdce7b82e559f649b703765f52c0d49724e9ef553

Realised P&L
$-1.8k
Volume
$397.8k
Markets traded
162
Open portfolio
$28.42

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded162
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-12 19:02Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be less than $4.00T at the end of 2026?BUY0.0797244087$5.00
09-06 17:21Will Apple’s market capitalization be less than $3.50T at the end of 2026?BUY0.0899999804$4.00
08-28 19:00Will Amazon’s market capitalization be less than $2.00T at the end of 2026?BUY0.104$7.00
08-28 18:59Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be less than $4.00T at the end of 2026?BUY0.12$1.44
08-28 18:58Will Apple’s market capitalization be less than $3.50T at the end of 2026?BUY0.1353965082$10.00
08-28 18:55GTA 6 launch postponed again?SELL0.06$3.33
08-22 13:37Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?SELL0.012592$0.79
08-22 13:36GTA 6 launch postponed again?BUY0.0899999845$5.00
08-22 13:35Will Apple’s market capitalization be less than $3.50T at the end of 2026?BUY0.1383124531$10.00
08-22 10:14Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be less than $4.00T at the end of 2026?BUY0.1354838523$6.00
08-21 17:49Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?BUY0.016$1.00
08-21 17:47Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be less than $4.00T at the end of 2026?BUY0.1173834759$12.00
07-02 12:38Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.004$0.56
07-02 12:38Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?SELL0.0048535023$3.93
07-02 12:38Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?SELL0.0165676669$16.68