Codm96
0x280257a0fb2d50840f1d3b42244bb2ab7aad6f1e
- Realised P&L
- $10.4k
- Volume
- $296.7k
- Markets traded
- 110
- Open portfolio
- $4.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded110
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.0kat 0.202Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
- +$2.8kat 0.636 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$1.0kat 0.500Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in March 2026?
- +$822.08at 0.866Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
- +$815.53at 0.793Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 13:30 | Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 13:30 | Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be less than $4.00T at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0915884012 | $10.00 |
| 09-27 00:47 | Pakistan military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8599997764 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 00:43 | China x Japan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 00:42 | China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 00:36 | Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be less than $4.00T at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0959999969 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 21:06 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | BUY | 0.9299999907 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 16:31 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.7499999997 | $2.0k |
| 07-25 19:26 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6299999977 | $60.00 |
| 07-25 19:21 | Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 07-25 19:21 | Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.002 | $10.00 |
| 07-25 19:20 | Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.002 | $10.00 |
| 07-25 19:19 | Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 07-25 19:18 | Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.003 | $3.00 |
| 07-25 19:18 | Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.005 | $5.00 |