0x53cdd6f8e78a7311d815a5719d6dca246052ffcb
0x53cdd6f8e78a7311d815a5719d6dca246052ffcb
- Realised P&L
- $39.01
- Volume
- $780.24
- Markets traded
- 122
- Open portfolio
- $90.69
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded122
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$40.69at 0.500Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?
- +$9.19at 0.732Will Google (GOOGL) close above $360 on July 21?
- +$9.07at 0.468Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $4.75 Week of July 20 2026?
- +$7.06at 0.269Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $102.50 Week of August 3 2026?
- +$5.42at 0.583Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $4.50 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 09:18 | Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999785 | $1.06 |
| 09-28 07:55 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $80 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.7699999806 | $6.76 |
| 09-28 07:20 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,140 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.5599998767 | $1.09 |
| 09-27 22:25 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.5699998305 | $1.11 |
| 09-27 08:22 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in September? | BUY | 0.1799999966 | $1.06 |
| 09-25 08:56 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $502.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.649999872 | $1.27 |
| 09-25 07:18 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $765 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.5699998305 | $1.11 |
| 09-24 13:00 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $720 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4499999151 | $1.59 |
| 09-24 12:59 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $710 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6199999479 | $1.19 |
| 09-23 08:54 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $360 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.569999956 | $2.59 |
| 09-23 08:03 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $160 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999636 | $1.07 |
| 09-23 07:52 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $365 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.48 |
| 09-23 07:47 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $76 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4799999282 | $1.07 |
| 09-22 14:25 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $370 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.5499998715 | $1.07 |
| 09-22 07:13 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $66 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.649999872 | $1.27 |