PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Semingur

0x8ca91b7864941aa720c7eea8241f8d851ae2f466

Realised P&L
$6.6k
Volume
$38.1k
Markets traded
520
Open portfolio
$1.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar17.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded520
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration77.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $5.00T and $5.50T at the end of September 2026? · No0.7400.984$432.08+$107.14
Will Meta’s market capitalization be less than $1.00T at the end of September 2026? · No0.8050.997$260.70+$50.16
Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be less than $4.00T at the end of 2026? · No0.8660.916$114.50+$6.20
Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.25T at the end of October 2026? · No0.5220.764$76.40+$24.14
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $80 Week of September 28 2026? · No0.7600.815$73.35+$4.95
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $3.50 in September? · No0.4900.994$69.58+$35.28
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in September? · No0.5800.985$68.91+$28.33
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in September? · No0.7400.994$49.70+$12.70
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $56 in September? · No0.7900.989$49.45+$9.95
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 in September? · No0.5700.875$43.75+$15.25
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be less than $3.50T at the end of September 2026? · No0.7200.970$32.69+$8.43
Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.3430.385$29.85+$3.24
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $256 in September? · No0.9350.996$25.70+$1.57
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,200 (LOW) in December? · No0.5300.690$24.15+$5.60
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? · Yes0.8320.999$23.53+$3.92

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 09:18Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of September 2026?BUY0.19$2.74
09-28 09:18Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of September 2026?BUY0.18$1.98
09-28 07:55Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $80 Week of September 28 2026?BUY0.76$68.40
09-28 07:20Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,140 Week of September 28 2026?BUY0.56$11.20
09-27 22:25Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of September 28 2026?BUY0.57$11.40
09-27 13:03Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of September 2026?BUY0.42$21.88
09-27 08:22Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in September?BUY0.17$4.25
09-25 08:56Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $502.50 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.65$13.00
09-25 07:18Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $765 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.57$11.40
09-24 13:00Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $720 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.41$16.40
09-24 12:59Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $710 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.61$12.20
09-23 08:54Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $360 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.53$26.50
09-23 08:03Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $160 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.39$7.80
09-23 07:56Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $160 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.31$9.45
09-23 07:52Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $365 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.75$15.00