Semingur
0x8ca91b7864941aa720c7eea8241f8d851ae2f466
- Realised P&L
- $6.6k
- Volume
- $38.1k
- Markets traded
- 520
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar17.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded520
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration77.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.496Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?
- +$477.64at 0.221Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $156 Week of April 6 2026?
- +$271.94at 0.728Will Google (GOOGL) close above $360 on July 21?
- +$271.62at 0.388Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $4.50 Week of June 22 2026?
- +$269.90at 0.296Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $124 Week of April 13 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 09:18 | Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $2.74 |
| 09-28 09:18 | Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.98 |
| 09-28 07:55 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $80 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.76 | $68.40 |
| 09-28 07:20 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,140 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.56 | $11.20 |
| 09-27 22:25 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.57 | $11.40 |
| 09-27 13:03 | Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.42 | $21.88 |
| 09-27 08:22 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in September? | BUY | 0.17 | $4.25 |
| 09-25 08:56 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $502.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.65 | $13.00 |
| 09-25 07:18 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $765 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.57 | $11.40 |
| 09-24 13:00 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $720 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.41 | $16.40 |
| 09-24 12:59 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $710 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.61 | $12.20 |
| 09-23 08:54 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $360 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.53 | $26.50 |
| 09-23 08:03 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $160 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.39 | $7.80 |
| 09-23 07:56 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $160 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.31 | $9.45 |
| 09-23 07:52 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $365 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $15.00 |