PolyBot

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Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-31
Rewards
20 min size · 5.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.24. up 0.13 over the period, from 0.11. Range 0.10 to 0.29. 152 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.269999
0.2740139
0.44250389
0.4573461
0.4645506
0.4775581
0.4950631
0.5030661
0.53130791
0.6140831
0.63100931
0.664001,331

Spread0.04Mid0.24

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.22199199
0.21128327
0.2020347
0.155352
0.1465417
0.1320437
0.1280517
0.1021538
0.0820558
0.0715573
0.0121594

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.78199199
0.79128327
0.8020347
0.855352
0.8665417
0.8720437
0.8880517
0.9021538
0.9220558
0.9315573
0.9921594

Spread0.04Mid0.76

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.749999
0.7340139
0.56250389
0.5573461
0.5445506
0.5375581
0.5150631
0.5030661
0.47130791
0.3940831
0.37100931
0.344001,331

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0x6224d0ca562475644c59eb387d122affYes500
LongShot-LouieYes218.97
LiquidifierYes142.12
RivieraNickMdYes99.72
Dr.PNLYes77.05
AJSVYes44.23
0x5F3ee9c40Be255D1C18cA38bf4Ab94b564C75337-1776862065527Yes21
tradetosurvive1Yes20
wantbehappyYes20
LornaPredictsYes15.37
0xd0d9…30f2Yes15
degens9Yes10
1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9Yes3
0xca75…0a64Yes1.19
kor-and-mYes1
0xa5ef…2966No848.02
HaradwaithNo87.86
leadernewNo80
GenaTheBondKilIerNo43.34
predictdogepepewifNo35.03

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
09:53:15BUYNo0.779999993826$20.00
07:28:21BUYNo0.7827$21.06
05:26:29SELLYes0.2610$2.48
05:26:29BUYNo0.768805338520$15.38
05:26:29SELLYes0.268474576359$15.84
12:40:20SELLYes0.211$0.13
11:31:24BUYYes0.3221$6.60
11:31:24SELLNo0.6892$62.25
10:31:06SELLNo0.7320$14.60
06:24:16SELLNo0.680$0.20
06:23:59BUYNo0.7520$15.22
06:23:59BUYNo0.7520$15.00
04:58:20SELLNo0.7836$28.45
04:50:49BUYYes0.2156004500$107.80
18:22:12SELLYes0.1720$3.40
10:55:31SELLYes0.1659$9.44
10:55:31BUYYes0.209999989510$2.00
10:31:07SELLNo0.822$17.60
09:04:31SELLYes0.1921$3.99
09:00:19SELLYes0.1715$2.55
09:00:19SELLYes0.1815$2.70
09:00:12SELLNo0.765$3.52
09:00:12BUYNo0.81999999520$16.39
09:00:12SELLYes0.2209909575646$142.72
09:00:12BUYNo0.8220$16.40