Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 40%?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2027-06-30
Rewards: 100 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.166. up 0.097 over the period, from 0.069. Range 0.069 to 0.222. 166 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.176	300	300
0.177	192	492
0.190	40	532
0.191	100	632
0.205	45	677
0.206	21	698
0.215	50	748
0.216	201	949
0.223	200	1,149
0.224	450	1,599
0.225	1,500	3,099
0.226	182	3,281

Spread0.021Mid0.165

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.155	77	77
0.154	134	211
0.153	192	403
0.128	58	461
0.127	193	654
0.116	5	659
0.097	16	675
0.094	200	875
0.093	20	895
0.092	210	1,105
0.090	450	1,555
0.089	1,165	2,720

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.845	77	77
0.846	134	211
0.847	192	403
0.872	58	461
0.873	193	654
0.884	5	659
0.903	16	675
0.906	200	875
0.907	20	895
0.908	210	1,105
0.910	450	1,555
0.911	1,165	2,720

Spread0.021Mid0.835

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.824	300	300
0.823	192	492
0.810	40	532
0.809	100	632
0.795	45	677
0.794	21	698
0.785	50	748
0.784	201	949
0.777	200	1,149
0.776	450	1,599
0.775	1,500	3,099
0.774	182	3,281

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
VeganCyclist	Yes	6,286.69
BKno95	Yes	1,376.96
0x3958da5B33B6CB871fA7cBCECe3149096579830b-1782990484921	Yes	624
.Pan.	Yes	474.93
PaddyAlpha	Yes	423.45
aHjCz	Yes	364.73
Dr.PNL	Yes	307.92
LornaPredicts	Yes	289.78
stephansmith2004	Yes	250.97
xiaoaojiang	Yes	205
itsjustcheddar	Yes	187.96
Hugin-og-Munin	Yes	165
mantou11	Yes	120
0x04B3F873B003eba3774dF1E5e47A370d27Ee1B7E-1774574222951	Yes	116.57
sunnynotbunny	Yes	100
KimchiCapital	Yes	99.99
0x73a6FAaeCc9bf2687475CFF07407b0d092eed207-1772780100231	Yes	91.74
S888	Yes	75.93
chamby8	Yes	67.57
new-account-test222	Yes	50

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
01:58:54	SELL	Yes	0.214	10	$2.14
01:37:57	SELL	No	0.77	3	$2.46
01:37:57	BUY	No	0.786	20	$15.73
01:37:54	BUY	No	0.786	100	$78.60
01:37:54	BUY	No	0.786	30	$23.58
15:32:18	BUY	Yes	0.193	78	$15.05
15:32:18	BUY	Yes	0.193	5	$0.97
15:17:42	SELL	No	0.815	2	$1.44
15:17:30	SELL	Yes	0.14775	108	$15.96
15:17:15	SELL	No	0.828	152	$126.26
15:17:15	SELL	No	0.828	2	$1.90
15:17:14	SELL	No	0.8725443064	1,525	$1330.59
13:09:06	BUY	Yes	0.108	100	$10.80
12:19:11	SELL	No	0.892	1	$0.97
10:38:14	BUY	Yes	0.108	5	$0.54
10:38:08	BUY	Yes	0.108	5	$0.54
10:38:00	BUY	Yes	0.108	5	$0.54
10:37:53	BUY	Yes	0.108	5	$0.54
08:21:18	BUY	Yes	0.108	100	$10.80
07:58:03	BUY	Yes	0.108	100	$10.80
07:23:21	BUY	Yes	0.1	5	$0.50
07:20:57	SELL	No	0.899	5	$4.50
07:20:54	BUY	Yes	0.1	5	$0.50
07:20:48	BUY	Yes	0.1	5	$0.50
07:20:41	BUY	Yes	0.1	5	$0.50