VeganCyclist
0xbcac39ed1f84f7711303e92d53abedc4bc406621
- Realised P&L
- $2.5k
- Volume
- $8.49M
- Markets traded
- 94
- Open portfolio
- $9.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded94
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.8kat 0.180Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$2.3kat 0.672Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?
- +$1.9kat 0.012Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.7kat 0.313Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.5kat 0.003Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-20 04:35 | Will Europe Win the WSOP Main Event | BUY | 0.1 | $88.50 |
| 07-19 14:05 | Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.002 | $2.00 |
| 07-19 13:30 | Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.013 | $13.00 |
| 07-19 13:29 | Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.013 | $13.00 |
| 07-19 13:20 | Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.17 |
| 07-19 13:06 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.6796808896 | $105.13 |
| 07-19 13:06 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.663 | $1.3k |
| 07-17 17:06 | Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 The Open Championship? | BUY | 0.16 | $32.80 |
| 07-15 21:10 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.297 | $73.69 |
| 07-04 20:12 | Will Karolína Muchová be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? | BUY | 0.047 | $117.50 |
| 07-03 20:06 | Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.001 | $17.55 |
| 07-03 19:53 | Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.001 | $300.00 |
| 07-03 19:50 | Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.001 | $500.00 |
| 07-03 19:48 | Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.001 | $300.00 |
| 07-03 19:48 | Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.001 | $500.00 |