PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

VeganCyclist

0xbcac39ed1f84f7711303e92d53abedc4bc406621

Realised P&L
$45.7k
Volume
$8.91M
Markets traded
124
Open portfolio
$27.7k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded124
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration54.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.4400.403$8.0k−$750.96
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · No0.8200.775$7.8k−$450.00
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.4800.705$5.4k+$1.7k
Will Benfica win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? · No0.8420.850$2.3k+$20.51
Will Hull City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? · Yes0.5070.515$2.0k+$30.08
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.0800.065$650.00−$150.00
Will Coventry City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? · Yes0.5610.475$581.42−$105.87
Will Manchester United be runner-up in the 2026-27 Premier League? · No0.7860.971$272.40+$51.77
Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? · Yes0.2500.385$213.56+$74.70
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? · Yes0.2700.225$150.13−$30.03
Will Tottenham Hotspur be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? · No0.8000.935$102.95+$14.86
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.0900.037$38.68−$54.15
Will Arsenal be runner-up in the 2026-27 Premier League? · Yes0.1500.200$32.39+$8.10
Will Hull City finish in last place in the 2026-27 English Premier League season? · Yes0.1740.185$31.34+$1.77
Will Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? · No0.8400.915$14.58+$1.19

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 10:59Will Coventry City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?BUY0.4$24.50
10-17 16:39Will Hull City finish in last place in the 2026-27 English Premier League season?BUY0.16$16.61
09-23 09:30Will Liverpool be runner-up in the 2026-27 Premier League?BUY0.05$0.29
09-19 15:59Will Brighton finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?BUY0.43$12.54
09-19 14:08Will Hull City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?BUY0.48$9.60
08-14 04:55Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?SELL0.64$24.69
08-13 16:26Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?BUY0.53$4.38
08-11 07:30Will Naomi Osaka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?BUY0.069$0.01
07-20 04:35Will Europe Win the WSOP Main EventBUY0.1$88.50
07-19 14:05Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?BUY0.002$2.00
07-19 13:30Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?BUY0.013$13.00
07-19 13:29Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?BUY0.013$13.00
07-19 13:20Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?BUY0.005$1.17
07-19 13:06Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.6796808896$105.13
07-19 13:06Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.663$1.3k