PolyBot

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Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-07
Rewards
50 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.45. up 0.01 over the period, from 0.43. Range 0.43 to 0.45. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.452,1602,160
0.462622,422
0.471,3453,767
0.481,2815,048
0.493,0258,073
0.50908,163
0.511458,308
0.54608,368
0.55238,391
0.56538,444
0.77798,523
0.7998,532

Spread0.01Mid0.45

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.44181181
0.43118299
0.42252551
0.4130581
0.375586
0.3037622
0.1250672
0.11190862
0.102501,112
0.071,1722,284
0.067713,055
0.051,0684,123

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.56181181
0.57118299
0.58252551
0.5930581
0.635586
0.7037622
0.8850672
0.89190862
0.902501,112
0.931,1722,284
0.947713,055
0.951,0684,123

Spread0.01Mid0.56

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.552,1602,160
0.542622,422
0.531,3453,767
0.521,2815,048
0.513,0258,073
0.50908,163
0.491458,308
0.46608,368
0.45238,391
0.44538,444
0.23798,523
0.2198,532

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
probabilityYes2,902.13
GUINESS123Yes844.5
leegunnerYes334.99
HyperlongYes333
rich1joYes205.82
HjklmYes162.76
cry.eth2Yes150
RetartsYes59.37
GeemanYes59
donthackmeYes50
Mrmk1Yes47.64
ethanblackYes42.04
Coppster1Yes32.46
mustbethewaterYes30
LornaPredictsYes24.23
romewme369Yes16.13
UranusProbeYes16
7t0grllhzov7Yes13.51
rmguptaYes11.9
LockmatYes10.64

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
08:55:40SELLNo0.5550$27.50
12:42:48SELLNo0.5550$27.50
10:19:12BUYYes0.4480$35.20
12:43:49SELLNo0.5514$7.53
11:58:49BUYYes0.4439$17.32
18:46:42SELLYes0.431$0.26
11:06:43BUYYes0.4499999978206$92.62
09:34:43SELLYes0.4311$4.73
13:35:10SELLNo0.5520$11.00
13:35:00SELLNo0.5667$37.29
08:30:49BUYYes0.4428$12.45
15:09:42BUYYes0.4415$6.64
11:07:31SELLYes0.44140$61.60
18:56:45SELLYes0.4520$9.00
18:56:28BUYNo0.55162$89.10
14:15:48SELLNo0.534$2.00
04:27:57SELLYes0.4540$18.00
04:27:54SELLYes0.4660$27.65
21:45:00SELLNo0.532$1.11
20:02:19SELLNo0.5347$24.74
10:36:21BUYYes0.469999988711$5.00
08:23:37BUYNo0.5411$5.94
08:23:37BUYNo0.5410$5.40
06:48:48SELLYes0.464$1.73
01:42:03BUYNo0.52999987814$2.00