7t0grllhzov7
0x65f45aa1c1021e730842030ac0df449a658a546e
- Realised P&L
- $-170.26
- Volume
- $657.90
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $17.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-25.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.445 | $6.01 | +$1.01 |
| Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? · Yes | 0.388 | 0.440 | $5.67 | +$0.67 |
| Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027? · No | 0.870 | 0.845 | $4.86 | −$0.14 |
| UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? · Yes | 0.474 | 0.054 | $0.58 | −$4.42 |
| Will Wisconsin use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? · Yes | 0.359 | 0.027 | $0.38 | −$4.62 |
| Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election? · Yes | 0.508 | 0.002 | $0.06 | −$19.94 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.23at 0.370US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
- +$4.59at 0.520US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
- +$4.18at 0.682JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?
- +$3.96at 0.380Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
- +$2.58at 0.660Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 12:39 | Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027? | BUY | 0.8699999983 | $5.00 |
| 05-25 13:08 | Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election? | BUY | 0.7799998596 | $5.00 |
| 05-25 13:08 | Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election? | BUY | 0.7799998596 | $5.00 |
| 05-25 08:35 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.5092329545 | $7.17 |
| 05-12 14:12 | Will Wisconsin use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | BUY | 0.3594019551 | $5.00 |
| 05-12 14:09 | Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? | SELL | 0.689 | $9.05 |
| 05-03 20:45 | Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | BUY | 0.3699999674 | $5.00 |
| 05-02 08:26 | Will Venstre be part of the next Government of Denmark? | BUY | 0.3849999819 | $5.00 |
| 05-01 21:06 | US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.84 | $11.35 |
| 04-30 13:54 | Will Green Left be part of the next Government of Denmark? | BUY | 0.4299999871 | $5.00 |
| 04-30 12:34 | UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? | BUY | 0.4736062948 | $5.00 |
| 04-28 14:35 | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.997 | $9.58 |
| 04-24 14:36 | Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30? | BUY | 0.3499999615 | $5.00 |
| 04-24 14:36 | Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30? | BUY | 0.3499999615 | $5.00 |
| 04-24 13:10 | Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30? | BUY | 0.3399999633 | $5.00 |