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Will Microsoft have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
None on this market
Ends
2026-10-31
Resolves by
https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.002. Unchanged over the period, from 0.002. Range 0.002 to 0.002. 151 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.002300300
0.00310310
0.00410320
0.005150470
0.00610480
0.00910490
0.01033523
0.012155678
0.01310688
0.01910698
0.02033731
0.02810741

Spread0.001Mid0.002

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0018181

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9998181

Spread0.001Mid0.998

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.998300300
0.99710310
0.99610320
0.995150470
0.99410480
0.99110490
0.99033523
0.988155678
0.98710688
0.98110698
0.98033731
0.97210741

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0xF03D13c94373E052a177601419291Ce2FAfE21Fb-1769526558724Yes561.6
KaskstpYes417.36
balthazarYes189.91
0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256Yes150
74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7.Yes150
qwen4.1.fundYes108.25
sanduspaceYes95
tradetosurvive1Yes78.62
TyshaYes61.5
LesterDiamondYes50.75
SpringlyFawlYes40
VonVonaghYes39.99
AJSVYes35.02
0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468FYes26.35
Hugin-og-MuninYes25
mustbethewaterYes20
e46m3Yes19.15
PandarinosYes18.65
TENETENETYes10
donthackmeYes9.98

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
23:17:45SELLYes0.001441$0.44
12:09:54BUYNo0.9995$5.00
12:09:54BUYNo0.99910$9.99
10:18:43SELLYes0.00142$0.04
17:59:29BUYNo0.99910$9.99
17:59:29BUYNo0.99933$32.72
10:24:29SELLYes0.0011$0.00
10:22:51BUYNo0.99911$10.80
10:22:48BUYNo0.99915$15.16
10:22:47BUYNo0.99913$12.79
04:48:11SELLYes0.00121$0.02
04:42:48BUYNo0.99970$69.93
04:42:48BUYNo0.99910$9.99
04:42:47BUYNo0.999120$119.88
21:25:35BUYNo0.9998$7.99
21:25:35BUYNo0.99910$9.99
21:19:18BUYNo0.99913$12.89
21:19:18BUYNo0.99910$9.99
16:50:26SELLYes0.00119$0.02
02:03:21BUYNo0.99933$32.72
01:52:14BUYNo0.99919$18.87
00:35:21BUYNo0.9999$8.99
03:01:10SELLYes0.0016$0.01
03:01:10SELLYes0.001123$0.12
03:01:10SELLYes0.00185$0.09