PolyBot

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Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2028-11-08

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.003. up 0.001 over the period, from 0.002. Range 0.002 to 0.004. 150 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.00313,12413,124
0.00454,44167,565
0.00523,48491,049
0.00620,648111,698
0.007341,536453,234
0.008184,500637,734
0.00933,222670,956
0.01037,603708,559
0.01111,000719,559
0.0123,700723,259
0.0137,666730,925
0.0144,200735,125

Spread0.001Mid0.003

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.00241,70241,702
0.001684,649726,350

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.99841,70241,702
0.999684,649726,350

Spread0.001Mid0.998

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.99713,12413,124
0.99654,44167,565
0.99523,48491,049
0.99420,648111,698
0.993341,536453,234
0.992184,500637,734
0.99133,222670,956
0.99037,603708,559
0.98911,000719,559
0.9883,700723,259
0.9877,666730,925
0.9864,200735,125

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMAYes423,886.37
MegBeeYes360,270.18
ScottyNoooYes277,776.57
0xB886580698eDE4b18DE3E446b2D8Da8bCEdd81B3-1767532547794Yes213,060.16
0xdea2…e981Yes184,997.66
11122Yes170,915.99
JORDAN23232323Yes125,000
RaymondVanYes118,510.93
0xcdlambjrrt0lk1en0js1mps0nipda1lyjfkYes112,000
AnonymousUsernameYes54,853.35
GayPrideYes52,500
J-E-RYes51,657.31
vainglorious87Yes50,000
KloYes44,945.45
dreamingToBeAGuruYes33,021.42
tiuriYes31,075
BlackswanDefiYes30,000
sleepy-pandaYes30,000
0xd88f…3b4eYes25,000
BabyGrootYes21,000

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
21:20:07SELLNo0.9971$1.29
21:19:42BUYNo0.9981$1.29
20:35:27SELLNo0.9971$1.07
20:35:09BUYNo0.9981$1.07
14:15:55SELLNo0.9972$1.75
14:15:21BUYNo0.9982$1.76
11:59:28SELLNo0.9972$1.51
11:59:13BUYNo0.9982$1.51
11:43:49SELLYes0.0022,486$4.97
10:17:18SELLNo0.9972$1.84
10:16:33BUYNo0.9982$1.85
09:42:55SELLNo0.9972$1.57
09:42:40BUYNo0.9982$1.57
08:10:28SELLNo0.9972$2.17
08:10:12BUYNo0.9982$2.18
05:08:13SELLNo0.9973$2.56
05:07:37BUYNo0.9983$2.57
05:00:16BUYYes0.003824$2.47
04:59:04BUYYes0.003829$2.49
04:57:25BUYYes0.003833$2.50
04:49:15SELLYes0.0021,034$2.07
04:41:31SELLNo0.9971$1.30
04:41:07BUYNo0.9981$1.30
02:31:10SELLNo0.9971$1.10
02:30:30BUYNo0.9981$1.10