PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

dreamingToBeAGuru

0xeed43c16eef2213fa84f599dc2262fd38793c1c2

Realised P&L
$-11.1k
Volume
$1.33M
Markets traded
212
Open portfolio
$11.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded212
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · Yes0.2180.265$1.3k+$233.36
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0080.061$1.1k+$952.69
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.2050.438$1.0k+$536.42
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? · No0.0800.095$760.00+$120.00
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.2370.204$738.40−$119.45
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0180.015$658.65−$90.12
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0090.010$474.03+$44.23
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0060.019$449.16+$306.27
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0240.035$432.35+$139.12
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? · No0.0320.022$427.50−$173.45
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0210.018$425.50−$63.45
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0260.021$410.00−$120.69
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0180.019$402.92+$37.41
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0810.141$353.75+$150.58
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0150.013$218.92−$18.63

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-28 03:15Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:15PM-11:20PM ETBUY0.4899999824$5.00
10-23 03:43Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.03$42.42
10-19 02:40Will Andrey Gyurov win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?SELL0.07$3.50
10-18 23:38Will the Kansas City Chiefs be the last unbeaten team of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?BUY0.32$6.40
10-14 19:06Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0189090819$42.02
10-14 19:04Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.017$132.21
10-14 03:09Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0080490272$6.89
10-13 08:43Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.006$78.84
10-13 05:08Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.031$73.23
10-13 04:35Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0339366673$53.59
10-11 20:22Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.029$70.12
10-11 06:32Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.03$14.08
10-10 13:05Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.012$112.10
10-10 13:01Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.024$0.18
10-10 12:56Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.013$105.32