dreamingToBeAGuru
0xeed43c16eef2213fa84f599dc2262fd38793c1c2
- Realised P&L
- $-11.1k
- Volume
- $1.33M
- Markets traded
- 212
- Open portfolio
- $11.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded212
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.196Giants vs. Texans
- +$792.47at 0.184Will Pope Leo XIV be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?
- +$491.69at 0.061Will 51 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
- +$419.50at 0.160Will Time 2025 Person of the Year be leaked?
- +$366.47at 0.618Will Tulsi Gabbard be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 03:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET | BUY | 0.4899999824 | $5.00 |
| 10-23 03:43 | Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.03 | $42.42 |
| 10-19 02:40 | Will Andrey Gyurov win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election? | SELL | 0.07 | $3.50 |
| 10-18 23:38 | Will the Kansas City Chiefs be the last unbeaten team of the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.32 | $6.40 |
| 10-14 19:06 | Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0189090819 | $42.02 |
| 10-14 19:04 | Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.017 | $132.21 |
| 10-14 03:09 | Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0080490272 | $6.89 |
| 10-13 08:43 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.006 | $78.84 |
| 10-13 05:08 | Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.031 | $73.23 |
| 10-13 04:35 | Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0339366673 | $53.59 |
| 10-11 20:22 | Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.029 | $70.12 |
| 10-11 06:32 | Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.03 | $14.08 |
| 10-10 13:05 | Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.012 | $112.10 |
| 10-10 13:01 | Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.024 | $0.18 |
| 10-10 12:56 | Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.013 | $105.32 |