0xd88fea88df81a2e8a2108eab2c2325fd4ce13b4e
0xd88fea88df81a2e8a2108eab2c2325fd4ce13b4e
- Realised P&L
- $140.81
- Volume
- $60.2k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $180.60
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration80.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December? · Yes | 0.026 | 0.038 | $79.08 | +$25.08 |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.003 | $62.50 | +$12.52 |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.002 | $37.50 | −$12.48 |
| Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.002 | $1.52 | −$8.48 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$194.81at 0.251Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?
- +$48.63at 0.312Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
- +$-19.86at 0.199Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
- +$-20.60at 0.165Spread: Seahawks (-13.5)
- +$-20.93at 0.177Shohei Ohtani: Home Runs O/U 0.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 13:03 | Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0098594891 | $10.00 |
| 10-29 13:02 | Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.8226875437 | $282.15 |
| 10-25 08:38 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December? | BUY | 0.02629031 | $54.00 |
| 10-15 04:14 | Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2402289709 | $82.39 |
| 10-15 02:11 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.19 | $19.00 |
| 10-15 02:10 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | SELL | 0.81 | $81.00 |
| 10-15 02:03 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.3 | $30.00 |
| 10-11 20:40 | Spread: Seahawks (-13.5) | BUY | 0.16 | $20.00 |
| 10-11 17:40 | Spread: Colts (-6.5) | BUY | 0.1499999998 | $40.00 |
| 10-11 17:35 | Shohei Ohtani: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.1695760591 | $20.00 |
| 10-11 00:20 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October? | BUY | 0.0178112013 | $100.00 |
| 10-10 14:57 | Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.002 | $39.65 |
| 10-10 14:57 | Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.002 | $10.35 |
| 10-10 14:56 | Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.002 | $50.00 |