PolyBot

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Traders

RaymondVan

0x56772c18e4a532ad3f2b6dca87d11baf8afb2ce9

Realised P&L
$-2.5k
Volume
$17.91M
Markets traded
664
Open portfolio
$4.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded664
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0080.026$728.99+$512.51
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0280.075$451.77+$286.20
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0070.011$270.99+$78.05
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0060.004$253.85$92.01
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0070.116$224.07+$211.02
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0080.009$218.26+$21.93
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1850.009$212.87$4.4k
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0070.007$211.57$0.87
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0080.015$203.88+$98.41
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0870.210$197.87+$115.95
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0020.002$197.29$58.00
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0030.002$197.00$160.49
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0070.004$191.36$103.04
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0080.005$167.59$91.54
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0740.002$156.58$7.5k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 13:51Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.001$0.54
09-18 13:48Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.032$2.40
09-18 05:40Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.006$1.20
09-16 22:33Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.004$73.59
09-15 22:19Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.001$0.20
09-15 15:27Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.008$1.60
09-13 19:43Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.008$6.00
09-13 19:42Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.001$1.45
09-12 13:52Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.008$5.60
09-08 20:35Will Andrew Feinstein win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?SELL0.001$0.17
09-08 20:34Will David Roberts win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?SELL0.001$0.14
09-08 20:34Will Oliver Cooper win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?SELL0.001$0.12
09-08 20:34Will Gio Spinella win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?SELL0.001$0.17
09-08 20:33Will Mehreen Malik win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?SELL0.001$0.15
09-08 20:33Will Luisa Porritt win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?SELL0.001$0.17