RaymondVan
0x56772c18e4a532ad3f2b6dca87d11baf8afb2ce9
- Realised P&L
- $-2.5k
- Volume
- $17.91M
- Markets traded
- 664
- Open portfolio
- $4.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded664
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.1kat 0.310Will SS Lazio vs. Genoa CFC end in a draw?
- +$4.1kat 0.320FC Lorient vs. FC Nantes: O/U 2.5
- +$4.0kat 0.759Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$4.0kat 0.559Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 1.5
- +$3.3kat 0.530Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 13:51 | Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.54 |
| 09-18 13:48 | Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.032 | $2.40 |
| 09-18 05:40 | Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.006 | $1.20 |
| 09-16 22:33 | Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.004 | $73.59 |
| 09-15 22:19 | Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.20 |
| 09-15 15:27 | Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.008 | $1.60 |
| 09-13 19:43 | Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.008 | $6.00 |
| 09-13 19:42 | Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.45 |
| 09-12 13:52 | Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.008 | $5.60 |
| 09-08 20:35 | Will Andrew Feinstein win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.17 |
| 09-08 20:34 | Will David Roberts win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.14 |
| 09-08 20:34 | Will Oliver Cooper win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.12 |
| 09-08 20:34 | Will Gio Spinella win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.17 |
| 09-08 20:33 | Will Mehreen Malik win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.15 |
| 09-08 20:33 | Will Luisa Porritt win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.17 |