PolyBot

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Will Lil Baby have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-31
Resolves by
https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/
Rewards
20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.085. up 0.002 over the period, from 0.083. Range 0.069 to 0.086. 150 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.1014141
0.1032061
0.10498159
0.10561220
0.11580300
0.13142342
0.21624366
0.2175372
0.58940412
0.590483895
0.90021916
0.99333948

Spread0.033Mid0.085

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0682929
0.0674069
0.0652089
0.06240129
0.05821150
0.03313162
0.03242204
0.026193397
0.0255,9176,314
0.0231366,450
0.0031156,565
0.0024056,970

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9322929
0.9334069
0.9352089
0.93840129
0.94221150
0.96713162
0.96842204
0.974193397
0.9755,9176,314
0.9771366,450
0.9971156,565
0.9984056,970

Spread0.033Mid0.915

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.8994141
0.8972061
0.89698159
0.89561220
0.88580300
0.86942342
0.78424366
0.7835372
0.41140412
0.410483895
0.10021916
0.00733948

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
xtxpleasecallmeYes150.08
ScottsRoadYes78.8
0x6b0e…e3eaYes78.09
LornaPredictsYes50
FihdrzgddYes49.94
73f44919CE0143F0e9a05F531f7C8B15c8a483a0.Yes40
JustBotYes30
romanew-7-spread05Yes23.81
Numitus1994Yes21.01
Mojito9Yes19.51
0x0c9b…e768Yes18.57
1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9Yes8.49
nigletteYes8.44
HaradwaithYes5.38
48xsdsYes1
GUINESS123No201
m33zyNo150
oliman2No73.19
0x08ef9Bb12E694e305D5E0cf1761874cE902aE466-1758127915454No43.81
wapplegateNo42.31

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
12:57:37SELLNo0.91511$10.07
04:14:51BUYNo0.90820$18.25
04:10:27BUYYes0.1036$0.61
03:58:56BUYNo0.94540$37.80
03:58:56SELLYes0.0967172414145$14.02
03:58:56BUYNo0.944999999520$18.89
03:58:56BUYNo0.944905009520$18.90
20:19:32BUYNo0.875$4.59
11:09:53BUYNo0.892999997429$25.53
08:46:21BUYYes0.11420$2.29
16:47:58BUYNo0.896054544642$37.91
19:08:05BUYYes0.122$2.20
18:35:54SELLNo0.91420$18.28
18:35:41BUYYes0.07369$5.04
18:02:06BUYYes0.06926$1.79
14:21:09SELLNo0.92542$38.85
15:00:09SELLNo0.92420$18.48
14:59:39BUYNo0.92720$18.54
17:29:47SELLYes0.06920$1.38
05:45:39BUYNo0.84420$16.88
16:13:46SELLYes0.0226$0.52
17:08:33BUYYes0.048446924627$1.30
19:59:18SELLNo0.9391$0.74
19:53:51SELLNo0.90139935978$70.31
19:39:52BUYNo0.99543$42.52