wapplegate
0x213221263c834f7c178997f53685ae7fa192acbe
- Realised P&L
- $46.21
- Volume
- $11.8k
- Markets traded
- 219
- Open portfolio
- $421.69
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded219
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$55.68at 0.115Will Geno Ploeger be the runner-up of AGT Season 21?
- +$36.32at 0.497Will Luis Arraez have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season?
- +$13.57at 0.470Spread: Eastern Washington (-3.5)
- +$8.41at 0.586Will Georgia make College Football Playoff Quarterfinals?
- +$7.26at 0.310Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:40 | Cowboys vs. Colts | BUY | 0.3499999946 | $3.24 |
| 11-01 21:35 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election by 0%-3%? | SELL | 0.18 | $0.62 |
| 11-01 21:34 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election by 0%-3%? | SELL | 0.18 | $1.08 |
| 11-01 21:33 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election by 0%-3%? | SELL | 0.18 | $1.08 |
| 11-01 12:29 | Tom Holland as Spider-Man? | SELL | 0.55 | $1.10 |
| 11-01 05:25 | Will Parma be relegated from the 2026-27 Serie A? | SELL | 0.61 | $3.66 |
| 11-01 03:05 | Will Manchester City finish in the top 5 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? | BUY | 0.4652084594 | $8.34 |
| 11-01 02:58 | Will "Avengers: Doomsday" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | SELL | 0.51 | $8.27 |
| 10-31 02:37 | Will Manchester City finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? | BUY | 0.4799999893 | $7.19 |
| 10-31 02:19 | Tom Holland as Spider-Man? | SELL | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 10-30 19:50 | Southern Jaguars vs. SMU Mustangs | BUY | 0.95 | $4.79 |
| 10-30 10:16 | Will Connor McDavid win the 2026-27 Ted Lindsay Award? | BUY | 0.597617335 | $11.67 |
| 10-30 02:36 | Will Manchester City finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? | BUY | 0.44 | $4.84 |
| 10-30 02:30 | Will Manchester City finish in the top 5 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? | BUY | 0.3699999887 | $3.59 |
| 10-30 00:50 | Will Rihanna have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? | SELL | 0.873 | $6.89 |