wapplegate
0x213221263c834f7c178997f53685ae7fa192acbe
- Realised P&L
- $10.96
- Volume
- $5.7k
- Markets traded
- 72
- Open portfolio
- $342.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded72
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample49 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.41at 0.586Will Georgia make College Football Playoff Quarterfinals?
- +$6.75at 0.392Coventry City FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5
- +$4.73at 0.587Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026?
- +$3.43at 0.869Will Alex Norris be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?
- +$1.69at 0.612Will Notre Dame Make the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 12:40 | Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $4.59 |
| 09-14 12:33 | Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026? | BUY | 0.0259999999 | $1.27 |
| 09-14 12:31 | Will Will Anderson Jr. win the 2026 NFL Defensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? | SELL | 0.18 | $0.30 |
| 09-14 12:31 | Will Will Anderson Jr. win the 2026 NFL Defensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? | SELL | 0.18 | $1.62 |
| 09-14 12:30 | Will Will Anderson Jr. win the 2026 NFL Defensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? | SELL | 0.18 | $1.08 |
| 09-14 12:30 | Will Will Anderson Jr. win the 2026 NFL Defensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? | SELL | 0.18 | $4.50 |
| 09-14 12:29 | Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027? | SELL | 0.022 | $0.37 |
| 09-14 12:29 | Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.15 |
| 09-14 12:28 | Will Will Anderson Jr. win the 2026 NFL Defensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? | SELL | 0.18 | $5.76 |
| 09-14 04:18 | Will Will Anderson Jr. win the 2026 NFL Defensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? | BUY | 0.1899999988 | $14.00 |
| 09-14 04:09 | Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? | SELL | 0.12 | $1.44 |
| 09-14 04:09 | Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? | SELL | 0.12 | $2.76 |
| 09-14 02:04 | Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027? | BUY | 0.031875 | $1.02 |
| 09-14 01:57 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | SELL | 0.21 | $0.30 |
| 09-14 01:57 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | SELL | 0.21 | $14.07 |