PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x08ef9Bb12E694e305D5E0cf1761874cE902aE466-1758127915454

0x08ef9bb12e694e305d5e0cf1761874ce902ae466

Realised P&L
$-485.85
Volume
$71.5k
Markets traded
1,131
Open portfolio
$3.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,131
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration12.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7290.745$130.38+$2.88
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? · No0.8000.835$125.25+$5.25
Will Werner Graf be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? · No0.8710.993$94.33+$11.63
Will John Malkovich be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.8700.870$87.00+$0.00
Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? · No0.7150.836$83.55+$12.05
Will Scott Wiener win the CA-11 House seat? · Yes0.7190.780$81.02+$6.38
Will Rihanna have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? · No0.8940.806$80.60−$8.80
Will Doris Matsui win the CA-07 House seat? · Yes0.6350.655$76.53+$2.35
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Indiana Secretary of State election? · Yes0.6030.635$76.20+$3.80
Will "Fjord" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.6600.710$71.00+$5.00
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.7800.705$70.50−$7.50
Will “Choosin' Texas” by Ella Langley win Single of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? · Yes0.7750.815$65.20+$3.20
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of November 7? · Yes0.9040.970$63.02+$4.27
Will Billie Eilish have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? · No0.7600.957$62.17+$12.77
Will Democrats win exactly 5 House seats in North Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections? · No0.5740.605$60.50+$3.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 08:29Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?BUY0.53$29.15
09-22 03:43Will AutoZone say "Distribution Center" during earnings call?BUY0.94$18.80
09-18 17:00Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.43$81.27
09-15 20:04Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?BUY0.8$80.00
09-15 04:02Will Drew Campbell be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 10)?BUY0.82$41.00
09-15 02:14Will Travis Scott have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?BUY0.87$17.40
09-14 17:48Will Ed Sheeran have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?BUY0.881$17.62
09-14 17:04Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.86$172.00
09-14 08:54Will Future have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?BUY0.905$45.25
09-13 16:43Will the Left Party (V) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?BUY0.72$16.15
09-09 01:30Will Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?SELL0.999$99.90
09-09 01:30Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?SELL0.999$99.90
09-09 01:30Will Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi win the next Piura mayoral elections?SELL0.6645516667$159.49
09-09 01:29US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?SELL0.9$180.00
09-08 15:02US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?BUY0.91$182.00