0x08ef9Bb12E694e305D5E0cf1761874cE902aE466-1758127915454
0x08ef9bb12e694e305d5e0cf1761874ce902ae466
- Realised P&L
- $410.03
- Volume
- $59.2k
- Markets traded
- 950
- Open portfolio
- $3.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded950
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$480.00at 0.520Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5
- +$168.98at 0.155Will anyone say "Diary Room" during Big Brother E13?
- +$112.48at 0.141Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?
- +$102.00at 0.490Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$96.93at 0.257Will Katherine LaNasa – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 20:04 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | BUY | 0.8 | $80.00 |
| 09-15 04:02 | Will Drew Campbell be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 10)? | BUY | 0.82 | $41.00 |
| 09-15 02:14 | Will Travis Scott have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $17.40 |
| 09-14 17:48 | Will Ed Sheeran have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? | BUY | 0.881 | $17.62 |
| 09-14 17:04 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.86 | $172.00 |
| 09-14 08:54 | Will Future have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? | BUY | 0.905 | $45.25 |
| 09-13 16:43 | Will the Left Party (V) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.72 | $16.15 |
| 09-09 01:30 | Will Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire? | SELL | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 09-09 01:30 | Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire? | SELL | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 09-09 01:30 | Will Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi win the next Piura mayoral elections? | SELL | 0.6645516667 | $159.49 |
| 09-09 01:29 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $180.00 |
| 09-08 15:02 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $182.00 |
| 09-08 15:02 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $180.00 |
| 09-08 12:18 | Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.83 | $16.60 |
| 09-08 01:34 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $182.00 |