romanew-7-spread05
0x8d0c3509c152e1b4abfa470b0868ec3cce26e1ce
- Realised P&L
- $1.9k
- Volume
- $44.5k
- Markets traded
- 2,592
- Open portfolio
- $243.09
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- CautionMarkets traded2,592
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration11.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$114.79at 0.080Will Michigan State be a number 1 seed in the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball March Madness Tournament?
- +$35.49at 0.165Will Michigan State be a number 1 seed in the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball March Madness Tournament?
- +$32.00at 0.064Will Hilary Benn be in the Burnham cabinet?
- +$30.25at 0.050Will Ben Johns / Gabriel Tardio win the 2026 PPA: Carvana Mesa Cup (Men's Doubles) tournament?
- +$26.32at 0.053Will "Space" be in the headlines this week?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-09 00:32 | Will Taylor Swift have a #1 hit in the US in May? | SELL | 0.54 | $2.70 |
| 05-08 02:44 | Will Gardner Minshew start Week 1 for the Chiefs in 2026? | SELL | 0.19 | $1.90 |
| 04-29 21:05 | Will Google say "Cutting-edge" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.14 |
| 04-25 07:19 | Will George Pickens be traded? | SELL | 0.45 | $3.00 |
| 04-23 17:24 | Will Trump say "Trump International Airport" or "Trump Airport" in April? | SELL | 0.19 | $1.90 |
| 04-19 19:10 | Will the Miami Dolphins draft a quarterback in the first round of the 2026 NFL Draft? | SELL | 0.185 | $0.93 |
| 04-14 09:34 | Will the US federal government take a stake in Pfizer Inc.? | SELL | 0.23 | $1.28 |
| 04-14 07:48 | Will Ethan Agarwal advance from the CA-17 primary? | SELL | 0.18 | $1.49 |
| 04-13 18:07 | Will the Republican Party win the IN-01 House seat? | SELL | 0.21 | $1.05 |
| 04-13 09:28 | Will Lyft’s total rides in Q1 2026 be above 250m? | SELL | 0.2 | $1.94 |
| 04-12 20:33 | Will Lamine Yamal lead LaLiga in assists for the 2025-26 season? | SELL | 0.19 | $1.16 |
| 04-08 03:49 | Will Yoshinobu Yamamoto win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? | SELL | 0.15 | $0.82 |
| 04-06 18:29 | Will Trump post "NATO" on Truth Social this week? | SELL | 0.22 | $1.53 |
| 03-31 18:38 | Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3? | SELL | 0.48 | $2.40 |
| 03-31 14:22 | Will Palantir dip to $114 in April? | SELL | 0.22 | $1.28 |