Will GPT Astra's output price be at or below $40 in 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2027-01-01
Resolves by: https://developers.openai.com/api/docs/pricing
Rewards: 20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.55. up 0.04 over the period, from 0.51. Range 0.31 to 0.60. 156 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.58	40	40
0.62	20	60
0.70	10	70
0.73	30	100
0.74	80	180
0.76	5	185
0.83	5	190
0.84	30	220
0.87	20	240
0.93	9	248
0.94	24	272
0.96	60	332

Spread0.07Mid0.54

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.51	184	184
0.50	120	304
0.49	20	324
0.45	18	342
0.43	100	442
0.25	140	582
0.12	358	940
0.10	21	961
0.04	16	977
0.03	20	997
0.02	5,006	6,002
0.01	265	6,267

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.49	184	184
0.50	120	304
0.51	20	324
0.55	18	342
0.57	100	442
0.75	140	582
0.88	358	940
0.90	21	961
0.96	16	977
0.97	20	997
0.98	5,006	6,002
0.99	265	6,267

Spread0.07Mid0.45

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.42	40	40
0.38	20	60
0.30	10	70
0.27	30	100
0.26	80	180
0.24	5	185
0.17	5	190
0.16	30	220
0.13	20	240
0.07	9	248
0.06	24	272
0.04	60	332

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
0x4025c911Cf213D04ff2d409BAEe57D1b270c3644-1781053677729	Yes	791.25
pootytherewardfarmer	Yes	88.6
balthazar	Yes	24.73
KimchiCapital	Yes	20
Carabao	Yes	7.12
gfdgfvfvssdd	Yes	4.01
labronzee	Yes	2.12
xixihaha009	Yes	1
Viserys	No	371.72
AJSV	No	195.78
Gaby99	No	140
tradetosurvive1	No	80
molodoyy	No	49.41
youtube-trader	No	40
0x5ca0…fd00	No	20
ZhouCD	No	20
GuyFromTinder	No	10
0xEa02B94E85be5a61da93ee32c6EA94e77cb1b929-1772534329002	No	10
_test_i075_CAND_11b7	No	2.13

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
01:27:45	BUY	No	0.45	17	$7.64
14:41:30	BUY	Yes	0.47	17	$7.98
14:28:11	BUY	Yes	0.4247368421	38	$16.14
12:11:53	BUY	No	0.5	18	$9.00
06:16:58	SELL	Yes	0.55	20	$11.00
18:38:44	BUY	Yes	0.41	20	$8.20
15:16:14	SELL	No	0.42	20	$8.40
20:22:54	BUY	No	0.469999906	2	$1.00
20:22:54	BUY	No	0.47	20	$9.40
20:22:53	BUY	No	0.4589050799	49	$22.67
07:59:07	BUY	No	0.4899999986	7	$3.49
07:59:01	BUY	No	0.459999986	7	$3.28
07:50:46	SELL	No	0.42	40	$16.80
04:57:28	BUY	Yes	0.44	20	$8.80
02:43:09	BUY	No	0.47	5	$2.54
20:45:21	BUY	No	0.4599999977	9	$4.06
17:24:02	BUY	No	0.4599999653	6	$2.65
06:41:05	BUY	Yes	0.38	20	$7.60
22:44:54	SELL	Yes	0.54	20	$10.80
22:15:34	BUY	No	0.48	20	$9.60
12:48:02	BUY	Yes	0.48	20	$9.60
09:55:44	BUY	Yes	0.48	20	$9.60
05:40:09	SELL	Yes	0.48	20	$9.60
05:21:39	BUY	No	0.47	40	$18.80
18:51:30	BUY	Yes	0.44	20	$8.80