0xEa02B94E85be5a61da93ee32c6EA94e77cb1b929-1772534329002
0xea02b94e85be5a61da93ee32c6ea94e77cb1b929
- Realised P&L
- $-33.20
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $44.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.97at 0.651Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$6.25at 0.350Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
- +$5.44at 0.410 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$5.10at 0.330Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
- +$4.75at 0.298Will Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by March 31, 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 12:54 | Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.80 |
| 10-18 12:44 | Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.234 | $2.34 |
| 10-18 00:36 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | SELL | 0.91 | $9.10 |
| 10-12 03:41 | Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in October 2026? | BUY | 0.39 | $3.90 |
| 10-09 04:10 | Will GPT Astra's output price be at or below $40 in 2026? | BUY | 0.58 | $5.80 |
| 10-09 03:17 | Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.133 | $1.33 |
| 10-09 03:17 | Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.70 |
| 10-09 01:39 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.79 | $7.90 |
| 10-09 01:28 | Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.23 | $2.30 |
| 10-09 01:02 | Will Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by March 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.78 | $7.80 |
| 09-27 23:53 | U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.20 |
| 09-27 00:54 | Will Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.29 | $2.90 |
| 09-26 13:55 | Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.00 on October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.56 | $5.60 |
| 09-26 13:47 | Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.35 | $3.50 |
| 09-22 02:01 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.62 | $6.20 |