Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-08-31
Resolves by: https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.030. down 0.044 over the period, from 0.074. Range 0.015 to 0.074. 153 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.033	0	0
0.039	30	30
0.040	264	294
0.041	200	494
0.045	10	504
0.046	99	603
0.049	3,200	3,803
0.053	145	3,948
0.056	45	3,993
0.057	55	4,048
0.063	40	4,088
0.065	50	4,138

Spread0.005Mid0.030

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.028	30	30
0.027	444	474
0.026	3,488	3,962
0.022	50	4,012
0.020	420	4,432
0.019	310	4,742
0.018	600	5,342
0.017	1,167	6,509
0.016	140	6,649
0.015	100	6,749
0.014	210	6,959
0.012	1,133	8,092

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.972	30	30
0.973	444	474
0.974	3,488	3,962
0.978	50	4,012
0.980	420	4,432
0.981	310	4,742
0.982	600	5,342
0.983	1,167	6,509
0.984	140	6,649
0.985	100	6,749
0.986	210	6,959
0.988	1,133	8,092

Spread0.005Mid0.970

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.967	0	0
0.961	30	30
0.960	264	294
0.959	200	494
0.955	10	504
0.954	99	603
0.951	3,200	3,803
0.947	145	3,948
0.944	45	3,993
0.943	55	4,048
0.937	40	4,088
0.935	50	4,138

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
iutwpfal	Yes	5,669.76
molodoyy	Yes	5,055.22
Freedom-BY	Yes	3,200
rewardbots	Yes	2,697.71
0xc9a90290332fa3ea9885f1e2ce466e6baf0c293	Yes	2,049.91
troim	Yes	2,000
0x652bFf901f401Fdhsk342kdjfnfk029abks13	Yes	1,986.09
99problems123	Yes	1,852.37
cowcat	Yes	1,560.63
1in1000	Yes	1,500
lightsout912	Yes	1,329.97
donthackme	Yes	1,326.75
Mithrandir.	Yes	1,312.04
TouchDownThana	Yes	1,110.99
hahahahh	Yes	1,000
manchot	Yes	1,000
BlackJellyfish	Yes	1,000
camtomo	Yes	999.99
wavesinthesky	Yes	966.54
gold3hunna	Yes	900

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
02:36:03	BUY	Yes	0.033	36	$1.19
02:35:59	BUY	Yes	0.033	300	$9.90
02:35:56	BUY	Yes	0.033	300	$9.90
02:35:53	BUY	Yes	0.0329999974	364	$12.00
02:35:26	BUY	No	0.9739999999	353	$344.15
02:35:21	SELL	Yes	0.03156025	200	$6.31
02:30:53	BUY	No	0.9679999999	147	$141.98
02:30:51	BUY	No	0.968	69	$66.79
02:05:33	BUY	No	0.968	81	$78.87
02:05:30	BUY	No	0.968	30	$29.04
01:33:35	SELL	No	0.96	3	$2.47
01:33:35	SELL	No	0.96	3	$2.47
01:33:33	SELL	No	0.96	3	$2.52
22:11:53	BUY	No	0.9679999985	5	$5.25
22:11:51	BUY	Yes	0.04	78	$3.13
20:53:27	BUY	Yes	0.040841719	98	$4.00
20:32:39	BUY	Yes	0.0339999922	121	$4.12
20:23:41	BUY	Yes	0.0336337436	43	$1.44
18:56:18	BUY	Yes	0.033	125	$4.13
18:42:05	BUY	No	0.9729999937	2	$2.00
17:07:30	BUY	No	0.9729999766	1	$1.08
15:57:35	BUY	Yes	0.027	1,000	$27.00
15:53:15	BUY	No	0.974	10	$9.52
15:50:30	BUY	Yes	0.0279694964	2,698	$75.45
15:48:41	BUY	No	0.9739999932	3	$2.56