Freedom-BY
0xcc7c1f044ddb2e002345f9f05b4e941e54a11d18
- Realised P&L
- $1.4k
- Volume
- $5.79M
- Markets traded
- 719
- Open portfolio
- $258.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded719
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.200US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$885.29at 0.071US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$752.14at 0.120Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$721.58at 0.468Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" 10+ times during cabinet meeting?
- +$520.88at 0.130Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 11:22 | Will Trump say "Honda" during his remarks to U.S. Embassy Personnel and Business Leaders? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.03 |
| 09-10 19:07 | Will Trump say "Veteran" during his remarks in Arlington? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.05 |
| 09-10 08:20 | Will Trump say "Charlie" or "Kirk" during RNC Convention? | SELL | 0.321 | $32.10 |
| 09-10 06:55 | Will Trump say "Charlie" or "Kirk" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.41 | $16.40 |
| 09-09 07:43 | Will Trump say "Democrat" or "Dumocrat" or "Dumbocrat" 25+ times during RNC Convention? | SELL | 0.1728785262 | $12.01 |
| 09-04 20:54 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.0418321462 | $10.81 |
| 09-04 20:54 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.0469365276 | $11.34 |
| 09-04 14:41 | Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | SELL | 0.65 | $24.51 |
| 09-04 14:41 | Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | BUY | 0.65 | $24.51 |
| 09-01 04:50 | Will Trump praise Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August? | SELL | 0.105 | $4.20 |
| 09-01 04:49 | Will Trump praise Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August? | SELL | 0.12 | $2.28 |
| 08-30 16:33 | Will Trump say "Movie Star" in August? | BUY | 0.93 | $67.36 |
| 08-28 10:46 | Will Warsh say "Trump" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28? | BUY | 0.049 | $9.85 |
| 08-27 08:35 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $62.50 |
| 08-24 16:51 | Will Trump say "Child" or "Children" 5+ times during Rose Garden event? | BUY | 0.1 | $6.10 |