PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
None on this market
Ends
2026-10-26
Resolves by
https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.066. down 0.189 over the period, from 0.255. Range 0.021 to 0.255. 83 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.099130130
0.100709839
0.12350889
0.14081970
0.1845975
0.3311001,075
0.332301,105
0.33581,112
0.509301,142
0.51051,147
0.588401,187
0.589191,206

Spread0.066Mid0.066

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0334040
0.025100140
0.0119149
0.01010159
0.00617176
0.00518194
0.0045199
0.003200399
0.002208607
0.001137744

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9674040
0.975100140
0.9899149
0.99010159
0.99417176
0.99518194
0.9965199
0.997200399
0.998208607
0.999137744

Spread0.066Mid0.934

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.901130130
0.900709839
0.87750889
0.86081970
0.8165975
0.6691001,075
0.668301,105
0.66581,112
0.491301,142
0.49051,147
0.412401,187
0.411191,206

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
PavtheGreatYes708.99
bonalddrunkYes554.9
FihdrzgddYes150
0xE43235629C5F4581D039CEc28014dC74631b934A-1767367002794Yes90.67
HaradwaithYes80.97
0xa169…1b73Yes33.38
PPMTYes30
0xca75…0a64Yes20
AJSVYes15.86
velorotYes6.9
0xe7952335816D6236573E0Fe0b174de7d41796879-1771524443260Yes4.69
SulkingCryptoYes2.99
Ko-san-123No1,518.29
iamnotwhoiwasNo74.58
0xa5ef…2966No44.69
pootytherewardfarmerNo21.3
2B9SNo20.01
GuyFromTinderNo13.45
thesciencecatNo5
AMAM13No1.9

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
18:13:17BUYYes0.0996540796445$44.34
17:04:58BUYYes0.067110$7.37
13:40:25BUYNo0.9665$4.83
13:27:37SELLNo0.93447$43.90
13:27:37SELLNo0.93314847162$2.14
13:25:28BUYYes0.0320$0.59
13:24:01SELLNo0.970$0.19
13:24:01SELLNo0.9714$4.15
13:23:03SELLNo0.9711$0.71
13:23:03SELLNo0.97115$14.56
09:51:52BUYYes0.02320$0.46
07:33:19SELLYes0.0122$0.02
01:23:16BUYNo0.975$4.55
00:44:42BUYNo0.941300361123$21.64
00:44:42BUYNo0.9481$432.88
00:43:46SELLYes0.140$4.00
00:42:09BUYNo0.930$26.91
00:42:09BUYNo0.9598$538.20
00:40:54BUYNo0.91$1.00
00:40:54BUYNo0.8620$17.20
00:40:46SELLYes0.1426$3.64
00:40:33BUYYes0.149999999491$13.60
00:40:33BUYNo0.85999997324$3.85
00:40:33BUYNo0.8599999141$1.00
00:40:30BUYNo0.859999995919$16.62