Will David Autor win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-13
Resolves by: https://www.nobelprize.org/
Rewards: 50 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.08. down 0.17 over the period, from 0.26. Range 0.04 to 0.28. 70 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.10	619	619
0.11	520	1,139
0.72	7	1,146
0.73	18	1,164
0.74	80	1,244
0.88	17	1,261
0.89	75	1,336
0.92	6	1,342
0.93	56	1,399
0.94	363	1,761
0.95	669	2,430
0.96	919	3,349

Spread0.04Mid0.08

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.06	499	499
0.05	8	507
0.04	20	527
0.03	1,207	1,734
0.02	4,693	6,428
0.01	5,192	11,620

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.94	499	499
0.95	8	507
0.96	20	527
0.97	1,207	1,734
0.98	4,693	6,428
0.99	5,192	11,620

Spread0.04Mid0.92

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.90	619	619
0.89	520	1,139
0.28	7	1,146
0.27	18	1,164
0.26	80	1,244
0.12	17	1,261
0.11	75	1,336
0.08	6	1,342
0.07	56	1,399
0.06	363	1,761
0.05	669	2,430
0.04	919	3,349

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
gamingcat	Yes	711.99
0x5caac32F68c19aeAB0023F12726B9a9645184831-1779438789697	Yes	200
0x5E922c731EAb5081e0d62569f5c467dd63F36c63-1723477301763	Yes	100
0x67c8d7Daaf87158B9BEBf2EE6934943A506B4841-1778064240710	Yes	16.67
0x446CC8Cb0F856200Df83d7Dab5D88ed2B9F7aF1d-1772106376695	Yes	8.37
sdfsdfsdfsdf2	No	242
Dr.PNL	No	220
spxtest	No	167.32
Haradwaith	No	130
Tenebrus7	No	120
lolzzzlol	No	48.56
chessplayer	No	45.04
lissartter	No	34.94
bufogodis	No	20.91
0xdfc8…62ff	No	5.21
0xa68b…c9b6	No	3.16

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
11:38:30	SELL	Yes	0.06	1	$0.09
10:02:40	SELL	No	0.93	50	$46.50
10:02:21	BUY	Yes	0.07	100	$7.00
10:02:21	BUY	Yes	0.06	712	$42.72
09:05:58	BUY	No	0.95	3	$3.00
09:05:51	BUY	No	0.95	5	$4.95
02:45:53	BUY	Yes	0.06	100	$6.00
21:59:58	SELL	No	0.94	50	$47.00
20:50:41	BUY	Yes	0.0599999988	17	$1.00
17:20:55	BUY	Yes	0.057615	20	$1.15
14:59:25	SELL	No	0.95	1	$1.06
14:06:49	BUY	No	0.9571237426	20	$19.60
14:06:47	BUY	No	0.94	120	$112.80
10:52:32	BUY	Yes	0.08	200	$16.00
00:22:15	SELL	Yes	0.05	1	$0.07
21:39:56	SELL	Yes	0.05	1	$0.07
21:04:41	SELL	No	0.92	39	$35.92
21:01:57	SELL	No	0.92	20	$18.40
21:01:56	BUY	Yes	0.07	20	$1.40
21:01:56	BUY	Yes	0.07	100	$7.00
21:01:56	BUY	Yes	0.07	19	$1.33
21:01:56	BUY	Yes	0.07	20	$1.40
21:01:54	BUY	Yes	0.07	20	$1.40
21:01:54	BUY	Yes	0.07	20	$1.40
20:39:41	SELL	Yes	0.05	14	$0.70