Will Claude go down 5-7 times in August?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-08-31
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.45. up 0.22 over the period, from 0.23. Range 0.07 to 0.47. 140 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.51	20	20
0.56	40	60
0.57	50	110
0.59	20	130
0.60	22	152
0.61	22	174
0.74	45	219
0.75	76	295
0.77	192	487
0.78	333	820
0.82	67	887
0.83	50	937

Spread0.12Mid0.45

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.39	140	140
0.38	116	255
0.25	118	373
0.24	79	452
0.22	80	532
0.21	22	554
0.19	100	654
0.14	21	675
0.09	222	897
0.05	6	904
0.04	69	973
0.03	117	1,089

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.61	140	140
0.62	116	255
0.75	118	373
0.76	79	452
0.78	80	532
0.79	22	554
0.81	100	654
0.86	21	675
0.91	222	897
0.95	6	904
0.96	69	973
0.97	117	1,089

Spread0.12Mid0.55

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.49	20	20
0.44	40	60
0.43	50	110
0.41	20	130
0.40	22	152
0.39	22	174
0.26	45	219
0.25	76	295
0.23	192	487
0.22	333	820
0.18	67	887
0.17	50	937

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
0xe172412ca65dD142Ff035630cc2945ADeC8D248A-1764747516771	Yes	912.69
davidceto	Yes	70
Polocap	Yes	15.96
e46m3	Yes	8
0x63Bd19EC92d98B4CeBFB150DF81B629A67B4aFf2-1776698908434	Yes	5
AJSV	Yes	3.06
double7	No	200
0xa5ef…2966	No	135
Dr.PNL	No	127.82
Oklmntrader	No	85.58
0xTengri	No	60
wfsxfwetrdsf	No	54
Victor-Rainbow-Polymarket	No	50
478okl	No	40
seeklmop	No	40
GuyFromTinder	No	34
Beubeu	No	30
HE110W0R1D	No	30
chessplayer	No	25
0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468F	No	22

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
13:52:51	BUY	No	0.58	40	$23.20
13:02:27	SELL	No	0.56	20	$11.20
12:59:29	SELL	No	0.62	20	$12.40
12:01:09	SELL	No	0.7039030023	87	$60.96
12:01:05	BUY	Yes	0.183516238	577	$105.95
06:38:05	SELL	No	0.83	20	$16.60
06:38:05	SELL	No	0.83	20	$16.60
06:38:03	BUY	Yes	0.1341932723	335	$45.00
10:04:20	SELL	No	0.82	20	$16.40
10:04:17	BUY	Yes	0.12	70	$8.40
20:12:39	SELL	Yes	0.1075	20	$2.15
20:12:36	SELL	Yes	0.11	25	$2.75
18:21:21	SELL	Yes	0.1	10	$0.97
18:21:18	SELL	Yes	0.1	10	$0.97
11:14:39	SELL	Yes	0.09	10	$0.87
06:52:56	BUY	No	0.9399999987	16	$15.00
05:50:57	BUY	No	0.9283333333	60	$55.70
11:23:09	BUY	Yes	0.3	5	$1.50
10:02:59	BUY	Yes	0.16	18	$2.89
02:18:50	BUY	Yes	0.15	25	$3.75