PolyBot

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Traders

davidceto

0x7bdd1388fa93df20ddcfdb7535d195596d6d5fb3

Realised P&L
$-668.62
Volume
$58.0k
Markets traded
432
Open portfolio
$285.13

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded432
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.8050.998$98.80+$19.07
Anthropic IPO before 2027? · Yes0.6000.740$74.00+$14.00
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? · No0.8200.745$18.63−$1.88
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? · Yes0.2220.234$11.72+$0.63
Will The Odyssey win Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.6080.385$9.63−$5.58
Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the September meeting? · Yes0.2180.132$9.24−$6.03
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31? · Yes0.4000.525$8.40+$2.00
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.4100.325$8.13−$2.13
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3200.295$7.38−$0.63
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.2300.242$6.79+$0.35
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? · Yes0.2700.265$6.63−$0.13
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? · No0.2700.255$6.12−$0.36
Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? · Yes0.8650.847$5.93−$0.13
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · No0.6300.585$5.85−$0.45
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6100.575$5.75−$0.35

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-27 20:59Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?SELL0.173$10.03
09-25 07:45Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?BUY0.27$6.48
09-25 01:51Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?SELL0.34$17.00
09-24 23:43Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.2299014286$6.44
09-24 23:43Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?BUY0.27$6.75
09-24 07:42Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?BUY0.63$6.30
09-23 21:37Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?BUY0.258$14.96
09-23 21:28Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?BUY0.865$6.05
09-23 20:42Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?BUY0.4$6.40
09-23 20:13Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.41$10.25
09-23 12:04Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?BUY0.61$6.10
09-23 04:59Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?BUY0.82$20.50
09-21 21:17NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.32$8.00
09-18 04:59Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?BUY0.25$3.13
09-18 04:57Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 70m?BUY0.7099284$17.75