0x63Bd19EC92d98B4CeBFB150DF81B629A67B4aFf2-1776698908434
0x63bd19ec92d98b4cebfb150df81b629a67b4aff2
- Realised P&L
- $-721.60
- Volume
- $291.9k
- Markets traded
- 3,219
- Open portfolio
- $91.11
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,219
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$298.07at 0.272Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on May 7?
- +$198.56at 0.091Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on May 7?
- +$154.53at 0.540Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
- +$116.59at 0.607Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
- +$108.12at 0.607Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 21:14 | Will Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) finish second on the party-list vote in Moscow? | BUY | 0.28 | $1.68 |
| 09-17 21:12 | Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.053 | $1.43 |
| 09-17 21:11 | Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.0566296296 | $1.53 |
| 09-17 20:59 | Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 30? | BUY | 0.075 | $1.80 |
| 09-17 20:55 | Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 30? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.47 |
| 09-17 13:02 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.007 | $1.03 |
| 09-17 08:38 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.95 | $4.75 |
| 09-17 08:36 | NATO downs another Russian drone by September 15? | BUY | 0.048 | $1.10 |
| 09-17 06:11 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Karoline Leavitt by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.056 | $1.12 |
| 09-17 06:09 | Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? | SELL | 0.999 | $79.92 |
| 09-16 20:45 | AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026? | BUY | 0.029 | $1.07 |
| 09-16 15:45 | Will over 68 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? | BUY | 0.027 | $0.18 |
| 09-16 15:32 | Will the Green Party (MP) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.013 | $0.21 |
| 09-16 10:41 | Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? | BUY | 0.599 | $4.19 |
| 09-16 10:14 | Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? | BUY | 0.749 | $3.75 |