0x63Bd19EC92d98B4CeBFB150DF81B629A67B4aFf2-1776698908434
0x63bd19ec92d98b4cebfb150df81b629a67b4aff2
- Realised P&L
- $-977.47
- Volume
- $310.2k
- Markets traded
- 3,431
- Open portfolio
- $81.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,431
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration19.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$171.65at 0.115Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on May 7?
- +$154.53at 0.540Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
- +$116.59at 0.607Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
- +$108.12at 0.607Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
- +$97.95at 0.739Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 06:30 | Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.25 and $1.50 on October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.009 | $0.14 |
| 10-28 21:19 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.049 | $1.35 |
| 10-28 21:19 | Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.039 | $0.05 |
| 10-28 21:18 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.059 | $1.47 |
| 10-28 21:17 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.011 | $1.23 |
| 10-28 21:15 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 28? | BUY | 0.05 | $0.25 |
| 10-28 20:35 | Will UTJ win 9-10 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.006 | $0.32 |
| 10-28 20:33 | Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? | BUY | 0.009 | $0.35 |
| 10-28 20:33 | Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.993 | $7.49 |
| 10-28 18:39 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.28 |
| 10-28 18:39 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.019 | $0.80 |
| 10-28 18:37 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on October 31? | SELL | 0.504 | $2.78 |
| 10-28 18:37 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on October 31? | SELL | 0.35 | $5.25 |
| 10-28 18:36 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.21 |
| 10-28 18:36 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.14 |