double7
0x9a6016b9450fe9843781a103fb4bb5c25315be51
- Realised P&L
- $-5.8k
- Volume
- $182.8k
- Markets traded
- 453
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded453
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.798Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?
- +$250.81at 0.925Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China?
- +$250.41at 0.774Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026?
- +$225.76at 0.525Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?
- +$213.32at 0.768Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 16:11 | Tread FDV above $40M one day after launch | BUY | 0.86 | $12.90 |
| 09-17 16:10 | Tread FDV above $80M one day after launch | BUY | 0.923 | $46.15 |
| 09-17 05:42 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.84 | $14.31 |
| 09-17 05:30 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.78 | $8.58 |
| 09-16 14:41 | Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship? | BUY | 0.97 | $1.1k |
| 09-16 14:13 | Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship? | BUY | 0.969 | $46.84 |
| 09-16 14:07 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26? | SELL | 0.14 | $1.40 |
| 09-16 06:29 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.84 | $6.76 |
| 09-16 06:28 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.85 | $5.66 |
| 09-15 21:27 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.84 | $12.60 |
| 09-15 19:56 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.97 | $67.90 |
| 09-15 19:55 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.96 | $42.32 |
| 09-15 16:29 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.29 | $3.19 |
| 09-14 18:40 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.97 | $118.34 |
| 09-14 18:04 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.58 | $11.60 |