double7
0x9a6016b9450fe9843781a103fb4bb5c25315be51
- Realised P&L
- $704.57
- Volume
- $75.1k
- Markets traded
- 158
- Open portfolio
- $723.61
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded158
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in August? · No | 0.912 | 0.930 | $465.00 | +$9.00 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? · No | 0.168 | 0.315 | $208.41 | +$97.32 |
| Will Claude go down 5-7 times in August? · No | 0.820 | 0.900 | $18.00 | +$1.60 |
| Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.525 | $13.13 | −$1.63 |
| Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.590 | $11.80 | −$2.20 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.355 | $7.10 | −$0.90 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? · Yes | 0.312 | 0.006 | $0.18 | −$9.18 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.794Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?
- +$228.71at 0.519Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?
- +$164.98at 0.965Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?
- +$105.20at 0.522Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?
- +$91.22at 0.770Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 20:57 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $83.09 |
| 08-02 15:52 | Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China? | BUY | 0.59 | $14.75 |
| 08-02 14:48 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | SELL | 0.4 | $40.00 |
| 08-02 14:15 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 4 Winner | BUY | 0.64 | $3.20 |
| 08-02 06:57 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.5457139 | $54.57 |
| 08-01 17:03 | Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs | BUY | 0.99 | $396.00 |
| 08-01 11:40 | Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.82 | $17.22 |
| 07-31 16:09 | GRVT FDV above $250M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.84 | $84.00 |
| 07-31 10:04 | GRVT FDV above $350M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.964 | $384.64 |
| 07-31 04:13 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | SELL | 0.312 | $3.12 |
| 07-31 02:37 | GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.986 | $39.44 |
| 07-31 02:36 | GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.986 | $39.44 |
| 07-31 02:36 | GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.986 | $39.44 |
| 07-30 18:24 | GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.33 | $6.60 |
| 07-30 15:51 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.985 | $43.95 |