PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Polocap

0xac42c7605f3133861af8edd858d8d223c9bf60d1

Realised P&L
$-4.9k
Volume
$730.5k
Markets traded
419
Open portfolio
$741.23

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded419
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Discord IPO by November 30, 2026? · No0.7420.895$234.13+$39.96
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? · No0.9050.905$181.00+$0.00
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027? · No0.9350.975$121.88+$5.04
Will Discord IPO by December 31, 2026? · No0.8770.875$76.04$0.20
Discord IPO before 2027? · Yes0.2160.107$73.63$74.47
Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · No0.3900.995$19.90+$12.10
UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card) · Arman Tsarukyan0.7300.735$14.70+$0.10
Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · No0.6000.325$9.75$8.25
UFC 331: Gable Steveson vs. Sean Sharaf (Heavyweight, Prelims) · Sean Sharaf0.0800.065$6.50$1.50
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027? · Yes0.0500.018$3.70$6.30
ChatGPT Outage by August 31, 2026? · No0.0060.000$0.00$1.80
Brazil bans Discord by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$1.20
LAPTOP airdrop by September 30? · No0.0240.000$0.00$15.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 18:02Will Discord IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8772727273$96.50
09-16 15:30Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027?BUY0.937$61.84
09-15 15:19Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?BUY0.934672$116.83
09-15 06:12Will Discord IPO by November 30, 2026?BUY0.89$8.90
09-14 15:51US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?SELL0.17$36.71
09-14 13:33US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?SELL0.12$48.00
09-14 13:32US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?SELL0.71$396.01
09-12 19:53US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?SELL0.025$7.23
09-12 19:53US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?SELL0.0260983613$18.55
09-12 19:53US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?SELL0.87$696.00
09-09 05:42US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?BUY0.67$669.99
09-09 03:18US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?BUY0.14$126.00
09-09 01:50Will LAPTOP not launch by December 31?BUY0.971$9.71
09-09 00:23LAPTOP airdrop by September 30?BUY0.03$3.00
09-07 08:08US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?BUY0.91$728.00