Polocap
0xac42c7605f3133861af8edd858d8d223c9bf60d1
- Realised P&L
- $-4.9k
- Volume
- $730.5k
- Markets traded
- 419
- Open portfolio
- $741.23
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded419
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.204Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?
- +$1.3kat 0.139Game Handicap: FNL (-1.5) vs Arneb (+1.5)
- +$959.83at 0.972Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$915.24at 0.357Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)
- +$854.97at 0.147Game Handicap: ME (-1.5) vs Bushido Wildcats (+1.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 18:02 | Will Discord IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8772727273 | $96.50 |
| 09-16 15:30 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027? | BUY | 0.937 | $61.84 |
| 09-15 15:19 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027? | BUY | 0.934672 | $116.83 |
| 09-15 06:12 | Will Discord IPO by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $8.90 |
| 09-14 15:51 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.17 | $36.71 |
| 09-14 13:33 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $48.00 |
| 09-14 13:32 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.71 | $396.01 |
| 09-12 19:53 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.025 | $7.23 |
| 09-12 19:53 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.0260983613 | $18.55 |
| 09-12 19:53 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $696.00 |
| 09-09 05:42 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.67 | $669.99 |
| 09-09 03:18 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $126.00 |
| 09-09 01:50 | Will LAPTOP not launch by December 31? | BUY | 0.971 | $9.71 |
| 09-09 00:23 | LAPTOP airdrop by September 30? | BUY | 0.03 | $3.00 |
| 09-07 08:08 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $728.00 |