Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2027-01-01
Rewards: 200 min size · 3.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.018. down 0.002 over the period, from 0.021. Range 0.018 to 0.029. 150 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.019	3,319	3,319
0.020	8,566	11,885
0.021	14,877	26,762
0.022	18,566	45,328
0.023	24,767	70,096
0.024	7,991	78,086
0.025	601	78,687
0.026	44,221	122,908
0.027	39,388	162,296
0.028	12,080	174,377
0.029	3,889	178,266
0.030	6,367	184,633

Spread0.001Mid0.018

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.018	1,023	1,023
0.017	64,784	65,807
0.016	13,832	79,639
0.015	32,150	111,789
0.014	16,429	128,217
0.013	26,185	154,403
0.012	120,551	274,954
0.011	59,576	334,530
0.010	18,929	353,458
0.009	15,276	368,735
0.008	18,415	387,149
0.007	64,119	451,269

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.982	1,023	1,023
0.983	64,784	65,807
0.984	13,832	79,639
0.985	32,150	111,789
0.986	16,429	128,217
0.987	26,185	154,403
0.988	120,551	274,954
0.989	59,576	334,530
0.990	18,929	353,458
0.991	15,276	368,735
0.992	18,415	387,149
0.993	64,119	451,269

Spread0.001Mid0.982

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.981	3,319	3,319
0.980	8,566	11,885
0.979	14,877	26,762
0.978	18,566	45,328
0.977	24,767	70,096
0.976	7,991	78,086
0.975	601	78,687
0.974	44,221	122,908
0.973	39,388	162,296
0.972	12,080	174,377
0.971	3,889	178,266
0.970	6,367	184,633

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
comon119	Yes	1,222,650.38
0x396f9914e99B2D35b7cC1A5Fb41b05d7062aF2a8-1775607429220	Yes	619,077.36
0xB886580698eDE4b18DE3E446b2D8Da8bCEdd81B3-1767532547794	Yes	583,372.78
epicsundayfunk	Yes	460,244.76
0xf3e9587edbf1862d971572157643697ab3f7ec41-1791345110782	Yes	351,465.74
caspersmc	Yes	292,891.48
lol9009	Yes	178,493.22
dante89	Yes	123,056.07
expectless	Yes	111,913.14
Wintaiwanwinai	Yes	106,634.07
vk7	Yes	82,000
TwoEyes	Yes	69,538.06
Crypto4thewin	Yes	60,120.27
NassimTaleb	Yes	60,000
0x2695d6829221d37a672CA0d96CE2356dD1193720-1790120044408	Yes	57,497.33
charliealmanack	Yes	50,000
binaryOpt	Yes	38,399.93
Rufr	Yes	31,613.31
octagonpizzalover	Yes	31,424.86
BTC7777777	Yes	30,000

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
20:37:42	SELL	No	0.981	817	$801.16
20:37:34	BUY	No	0.982	817	$801.98
20:37:16	SELL	No	0.981	832	$816.01
20:37:04	BUY	No	0.982	832	$816.83
20:36:45	SELL	No	0.981	847	$830.83
20:36:33	BUY	No	0.982	847	$831.68
18:32:30	SELL	No	0.981	40	$39.55
18:32:27	BUY	No	0.9819999999	40	$39.60
18:32:19	SELL	No	0.981	40	$39.55
18:32:16	BUY	No	0.9819999999	40	$39.60
18:32:13	SELL	No	0.981	40	$39.56
18:32:10	BUY	No	0.9819999999	40	$39.60
18:32:07	SELL	No	0.981	40	$39.55
18:32:06	BUY	No	0.9819999999	40	$39.60
18:32:03	SELL	No	0.981	40	$39.55
18:32:00	BUY	No	0.9819999999	40	$39.60
18:31:58	SELL	No	0.981	40	$39.56
18:31:55	BUY	No	0.9819999999	40	$39.60
18:31:52	SELL	No	0.981	40	$39.55
18:31:49	BUY	No	0.9819999999	40	$39.60
17:02:28	SELL	Yes	0.018	3,173	$57.11
15:40:55	BUY	No	0.9819999996	5	$5.00
15:30:45	SELL	No	0.981	639	$626.86
14:59:04	SELL	No	0.981	5	$4.91
14:37:43	SELL	No	0.981	0	$0.01