Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2026-12-31
Rewards: 200 min size · 3.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.040. up 0.001 over the period, from 0.038. Range 0.037 to 0.045. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.040	48,250	48,250
0.041	1,848	50,098
0.042	1,882	51,980
0.043	4,472	56,452
0.044	1,304	57,757
0.045	42,038	99,795
0.046	3,634	103,429
0.047	6,368	109,796
0.048	13,916	123,712
0.049	1,810	125,523
0.050	94,992	220,514
0.051	29	220,543

Spread0.001Mid0.040

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.039	3,941	3,941
0.038	26,191	30,132
0.037	15,834	45,965
0.036	12,663	58,628
0.035	14,315	72,943
0.034	10,123	83,066
0.033	27,532	110,597
0.032	8,637	119,234
0.031	11,193	130,427
0.030	36,001	166,428
0.029	16,218	182,646
0.028	5,346	187,991

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.961	3,941	3,941
0.962	26,191	30,132
0.963	15,834	45,965
0.964	12,663	58,628
0.965	14,315	72,943
0.966	10,123	83,066
0.967	27,532	110,597
0.968	8,637	119,234
0.969	11,193	130,427
0.970	36,001	166,428
0.971	16,218	182,646
0.972	5,346	187,991

Spread0.001Mid0.960

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.960	48,250	48,250
0.959	1,848	50,098
0.958	1,882	51,980
0.957	4,472	56,452
0.956	1,304	57,757
0.955	42,038	99,795
0.954	3,634	103,429
0.953	6,368	109,796
0.952	13,916	123,712
0.951	1,810	125,523
0.950	94,992	220,514
0.949	29	220,543

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
comon119	Yes	1,222,650.38
0x396f9914e99B2D35b7cC1A5Fb41b05d7062aF2a8-1775607429220	Yes	617,672.09
0xB886580698eDE4b18DE3E446b2D8Da8bCEdd81B3-1767532547794	Yes	583,330.67
epicsundayfunk	Yes	459,203.61
caspersmc	Yes	292,891.48
lol9009	Yes	178,493.22
muxuebingcheng311	Yes	133,044.52
dante89	Yes	123,056.07
expectless	Yes	111,913.14
Wintaiwanwinai	Yes	106,634.07
topsecret17	Yes	82,499.05
vk7	Yes	82,000
TwoEyes	Yes	69,538.06
Crypto4thewin	Yes	60,120.27
NassimTaleb	Yes	60,000
charliealmanack	Yes	50,000
Fazebear	Yes	48,505.47
bowenbai	Yes	44,877.82
binaryOpt	Yes	38,399.93
Rufr	Yes	31,613.31

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
01:22:33	BUY	No	0.960999932	10	$10.00
01:04:52	BUY	No	0.961	20	$19.22
01:01:48	BUY	No	0.961	145	$139.34
00:51:09	SELL	No	0.96	570	$547.20
00:42:55	BUY	No	0.9609997473	1	$1.00
00:41:24	SELL	No	0.96	2	$2.01
00:24:24	BUY	No	0.9609997473	2	$2.00
23:32:15	BUY	No	0.961	100	$96.10
23:03:37	SELL	No	0.96	5	$5.17
23:00:00	SELL	No	0.96	1	$1.02
22:58:04	SELL	No	0.96	1	$1.02
22:25:55	BUY	Yes	0.04	25	$1.00
22:13:09	BUY	Yes	0.04	200	$8.00
22:12:22	SELL	No	0.96	1,001	$960.50
21:28:16	BUY	Yes	0.039	50	$1.95
20:04:37	SELL	No	0.961	197	$188.90
20:04:28	BUY	No	0.9619999979	197	$189.10
20:03:46	SELL	No	0.961	201	$192.85
20:03:36	BUY	No	0.9619999985	201	$193.06
20:02:57	SELL	No	0.961	205	$196.81
20:02:43	BUY	No	0.9619999991	205	$197.02
19:38:48	SELL	No	0.961	51	$49.44
19:38:42	BUY	No	0.9619999898	51	$49.50
19:34:15	SELL	Yes	0.038	846	$32.14
19:32:16	BUY	Yes	0.039	122	$4.76