Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2026-12-31
Rewards: 200 min size · 3.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.041. up 0.006 over the period, from 0.035. Range 0.035 to 0.042. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.041	9,970	9,970
0.042	23,759	33,729
0.043	2,472	36,201
0.044	29,221	65,422
0.045	21,149	86,571
0.046	7,023	93,594
0.047	24,258	117,852
0.048	13,749	131,601
0.049	7,055	138,656
0.050	66,355	205,012
0.051	11,165	216,177
0.052	10,404	226,582

Spread0.001Mid0.041

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.040	3,929	3,929
0.039	20,688	24,617
0.038	7,013	31,629
0.037	9,273	40,902
0.036	4,818	45,720
0.035	106,004	151,724
0.034	11,848	163,572
0.033	29,295	192,868
0.032	8,294	201,162
0.031	63,559	264,720
0.030	83,613	348,333
0.029	2,282	350,616

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.960	3,929	3,929
0.961	20,688	24,617
0.962	7,013	31,629
0.963	9,273	40,902
0.964	4,818	45,720
0.965	106,004	151,724
0.966	11,848	163,572
0.967	29,295	192,868
0.968	8,294	201,162
0.969	63,559	264,720
0.970	83,613	348,333
0.971	2,282	350,616

Spread0.001Mid0.960

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.959	9,970	9,970
0.958	23,759	33,729
0.957	2,472	36,201
0.956	29,221	65,422
0.955	21,149	86,571
0.954	7,023	93,594
0.953	24,258	117,852
0.952	13,749	131,601
0.951	7,055	138,656
0.950	66,355	205,012
0.949	11,165	216,177
0.948	10,404	226,582

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
comon119	Yes	1,222,650.38
0x396f9914e99B2D35b7cC1A5Fb41b05d7062aF2a8-1775607429220	Yes	615,517.62
0xB886580698eDE4b18DE3E446b2D8Da8bCEdd81B3-1767532547794	Yes	583,330.67
epicsundayfunk	Yes	455,748.34
caspersmc	Yes	292,891.48
lol9009	Yes	178,493.22
muxuebingcheng311	Yes	163,148.17
expectless	Yes	111,913.14
vk7	Yes	82,000
TwoEyes	Yes	69,538.06
Crypto4thewin	Yes	60,120.27
NassimTaleb	Yes	60,000
charliealmanack	Yes	50,000
bowenbai	Yes	44,877.82
binaryOpt	Yes	38,399.93
ArmageddonRewardsBilly	Yes	34,999.65
Rufr	Yes	31,613.31
octagonpizzalover	Yes	31,424.86
BTC7777777	Yes	30,000
GuavaGuy	Yes	29,999.99

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
23:34:45	SELL	No	0.959	5	$4.98
23:34:38	BUY	No	0.959999923	5	$4.99
23:29:53	SELL	No	0.959	5	$4.98
23:29:45	BUY	No	0.959999923	5	$4.99
23:15:45	SELL	No	0.959	5	$4.98
23:15:30	BUY	No	0.959999923	5	$4.99
23:00:21	SELL	No	0.959	5	$4.98
23:00:03	BUY	No	0.959999923	5	$4.99
22:34:06	SELL	No	0.959	5	$4.98
22:33:56	BUY	No	0.959999923	5	$4.99
22:28:08	SELL	No	0.959	5	$4.98
22:27:57	BUY	No	0.959999923	5	$4.99
22:26:29	BUY	No	0.96	1,943	$1865.30
22:22:45	SELL	No	0.959	120	$115.08
22:15:59	SELL	No	0.959	5	$4.98
22:15:50	BUY	No	0.959999923	5	$4.99
22:15:38	SELL	No	0.959	5	$4.98
22:15:23	BUY	No	0.959999923	5	$4.99
22:01:48	SELL	No	0.959	5	$4.98
22:01:39	BUY	No	0.959999923	5	$4.99
21:41:39	BUY	No	0.959999616	1	$1.00
21:21:12	SELL	No	0.959	5	$4.98
21:21:03	BUY	No	0.959999923	5	$4.99
21:14:27	SELL	No	0.959	5	$4.98
21:14:20	BUY	No	0.959999923	5	$4.99