0xf3e9587edbf1862d971572157643697ab3f7ec41
0xf3e9587edbf1862d971572157643697ab3f7ec41
- Realised P&L
- $-565.38
- Volume
- $394.7k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $10.6k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration69.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.047 | 0.029 | $10.4k | −$6.2k |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.125 | $163.04 | −$136.96 |
| Will England win on 2026-10-06? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.810 | $84.04 | +$1.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$136.41at 0.263Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
- +$31.29at 0.535Will France win on 2026-09-28?
- +$13.97at 0.831Will Spain win on 2026-09-29?
- +$10.41at 0.901Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
- +$3.97at 0.704Will Netherlands win on 2026-09-27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 10:39 | Will England win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.8 | $83.00 |
| 09-29 15:21 | Will Spain win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.8199999983 | $68.00 |
| 09-27 18:25 | Will France win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.5199999947 | $35.00 |
| 09-27 17:50 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-09-27? | SELL | 0.96 | $15.30 |
| 09-27 10:17 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.6899999994 | $11.00 |
| 09-17 18:23 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0581526852 | $4.4k |
| 09-17 18:23 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.047569147 | $7.6k |
| 09-17 18:23 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0395078993 | $4.6k |
| 09-16 18:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET | BUY | 0.038299335 | $104.46 |
| 09-16 18:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET | BUY | 0.0521552441 | $104.46 |
| 09-16 18:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET | BUY | 0.282640681 | $104.46 |
| 09-15 19:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET | SELL | 0.0126040521 | $20.40 |
| 09-15 19:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.0840877013 | $136.13 |
| 09-15 19:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET | SELL | 0.24 | $57.12 |
| 09-15 19:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET | BUY | 0.2099999992 | $50.00 |