PolyBot

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Traders

0xf3e9587edbf1862d971572157643697ab3f7ec41

0xf3e9587edbf1862d971572157643697ab3f7ec41

Realised P&L
$-565.38
Volume
$394.7k
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$10.6k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration69.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration97.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0470.029$10.4k−$6.2k
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2300.125$163.04−$136.96
Will England win on 2026-10-06? · Yes0.8000.810$84.04+$1.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 10:39Will England win on 2026-10-06?BUY0.8$83.00
09-29 15:21Will Spain win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.8199999983$68.00
09-27 18:25Will France win on 2026-09-28?BUY0.5199999947$35.00
09-27 17:50Will Netherlands win on 2026-09-27?SELL0.96$15.30
09-27 10:17Will Netherlands win on 2026-09-27?BUY0.6899999994$11.00
09-17 18:23Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.0581526852$4.4k
09-17 18:23Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.047569147$7.6k
09-17 18:23Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.0395078993$4.6k
09-16 18:08Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 2:00PM-2:15PM ETBUY0.038299335$104.46
09-16 18:07Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 2:00PM-2:15PM ETBUY0.0521552441$104.46
09-16 18:05Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 2:00PM-2:15PM ETBUY0.282640681$104.46
09-15 19:57Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETSELL0.0126040521$20.40
09-15 19:56Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETBUY0.0840877013$136.13
09-15 19:52Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ETSELL0.24$57.12
09-15 19:52Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ETBUY0.2099999992$50.00