PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

dante89

0x53977c569872d7a7b34eaf0b2ccb8be327bd736b

Realised P&L
$-62.8k
Volume
$503.3k
Markets traded
63
Open portfolio
$7.5k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-12.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded63
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration64.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample37 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0410.040$4.9k$189.14
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · No0.6900.905$655.80+$155.80
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? · No0.8400.994$591.37+$91.37
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.055$550.00$450.00
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3060.255$416.50$83.50
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.0890.064$356.30$143.70
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? · No0.4560.715$47.08+$17.08
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.2100.115$21.90$18.10
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31? · No0.1570.190$12.11+$2.11
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? · No0.2500.475$10.24+$4.85
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June? · No0.6770.000$0.00$10.00
Will Microsoft (MSFT) beat quarterly earnings? · No0.1800.000$0.00$45.00
Will the US add at least 200k jobs in June? · Yes0.2790.000$0.00$22.26
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$5.25
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0670.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-10 21:59Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.0395465191$700.00
09-10 21:59Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?SELL0.984$673.97
09-09 10:08China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?BUY0.0891111326$500.00
09-09 09:53Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?SELL0.999$587.64
08-26 20:54NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.2099999964$40.00
08-26 17:21Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.0405870336$2.9k
08-26 17:21Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.0440617584$1.1k
08-26 16:19Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.0397848805$150.00
08-26 16:18Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.0386119191$200.00
08-26 16:17NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3061200504$500.00
08-16 17:27Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.7599999999$275.00
08-08 11:38Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.6299999997$200.00
08-08 11:34US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6899999997$500.00
07-27 12:47Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?BUY0.6943066849$300.00
07-26 14:15Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?BUY0.5607217323$100.00