dante89
0x53977c569872d7a7b34eaf0b2ccb8be327bd736b
- Realised P&L
- $-62.8k
- Volume
- $503.3k
- Markets traded
- 63
- Open portfolio
- $7.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-12.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded63
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample37 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.9kat 0.850US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
- +$2.0kat 0.845US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
- +$173.97at 0.730Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- +$132.09at 0.694Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?
- +$87.65at 0.850Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 21:59 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0395465191 | $700.00 |
| 09-10 21:59 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | SELL | 0.984 | $673.97 |
| 09-09 10:08 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.0891111326 | $500.00 |
| 09-09 09:53 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $587.64 |
| 08-26 20:54 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999964 | $40.00 |
| 08-26 17:21 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0405870336 | $2.9k |
| 08-26 17:21 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0440617584 | $1.1k |
| 08-26 16:19 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0397848805 | $150.00 |
| 08-26 16:18 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0386119191 | $200.00 |
| 08-26 16:17 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3061200504 | $500.00 |
| 08-16 17:27 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7599999999 | $275.00 |
| 08-08 11:38 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6299999997 | $200.00 |
| 08-08 11:34 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999997 | $500.00 |
| 07-27 12:47 | Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26? | BUY | 0.6943066849 | $300.00 |
| 07-26 14:15 | Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26? | BUY | 0.5607217323 | $100.00 |