caspersmc
0x90264311ebebc6d447a885c560787af108cad7e4
- Realised P&L
- $-30.9k
- Volume
- $367.0k
- Markets traded
- 2
- Open portfolio
- $18.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded2
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration73.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.121 | 0.045 | $13.3k | −$22.1k |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes | 0.184 | 0.065 | $4.8k | −$8.8k |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-06 23:58 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.3 | $7.80 |
| 01-06 23:45 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.39 | $2.28 |
| 01-06 23:45 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.38 | $54.22 |
| 01-06 23:44 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.34 | $10.00 |
| 01-06 23:44 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.32 | $100.00 |
| 01-06 23:44 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.31 | $31.00 |
| 01-06 23:44 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.3 | $473.70 |
| 01-06 23:39 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.28 | $37.80 |
| 01-06 23:39 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.27 | $54.00 |
| 01-06 23:39 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.25 | $3.75 |
| 01-06 23:39 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.23 | $92.00 |
| 01-06 23:39 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.2k |
| 01-06 23:38 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.21 | $44.47 |
| 01-06 23:38 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.21 | $52.50 |
| 01-06 23:38 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.2 | $6.00 |