Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2026-11-01

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.056. up 0.005 over the period, from 0.051. Range 0.028 to 0.063. 156 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.092	84	84
0.093	50	134
0.094	100	234
0.097	50	284
0.100	50	334
0.123	20	354
0.163	20	374
0.233	20	394
0.323	20	414
0.433	20	434
0.739	7	441
0.740	80	521

Spread0.072Mid0.056

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.020	5	5
0.019	8	13
0.018	30	43
0.017	59	102
0.011	9	110
0.010	10	120
0.006	64	184
0.005	128	313
0.004	205	518
0.003	139	657
0.002	221	878
0.001	1,413	2,291

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.980	5	5
0.981	8	13
0.982	30	43
0.983	59	102
0.989	9	110
0.990	10	120
0.994	64	184
0.995	128	313
0.996	205	518
0.997	139	657
0.998	221	878
0.999	1,413	2,291

Spread0.072Mid0.944

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.908	84	84
0.907	50	134
0.906	100	234
0.903	50	284
0.900	50	334
0.877	20	354
0.837	20	374
0.767	20	394
0.677	20	414
0.567	20	434
0.261	7	441
0.260	80	521

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
-FROMTHEFUTURE-	Yes	515
AJSV	Yes	84
VonVonagh	Yes	50
0xF9658C740E471db66F62Ec137157d7B9756dcCB0-1720347430903	Yes	28.91
arsenelupin	Yes	5
balthazar	No	159.99
Mataty1	No	130
vozomnil	No	129
tradegod1112123	No	90.01
cigarettes	No	60.01
prodset	No	60
NotAnIdiot	No	50
PPMT	No	3.91

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
05:56:38	BUY	Yes	0.047	50	$2.35
20:04:57	SELL	No	0.948	0	$0.01
20:04:57	SELL	Yes	0.022	0	$0.00
15:41:47	BUY	No	0.946	90	$85.15
13:42:11	BUY	No	0.945999995	10	$9.45
13:42:11	BUY	Yes	0.054	50	$2.70
19:59:44	BUY	Yes	0.0919999983	29	$2.66
00:06:49	BUY	No	0.936	10	$9.36
00:06:49	BUY	No	0.936	60	$56.16
00:06:49	BUY	Yes	0.0630344828	145	$9.14
13:02:37	BUY	No	0.9627692308	130	$125.16
04:39:21	SELL	No	0.98	5	$4.90
21:42:12	BUY	Yes	0.045	10	$0.45
20:54:14	BUY	No	0.97	10	$9.70
02:00:18	BUY	No	0.8937313433	134	$119.76