PolyBot

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Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-31

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.013. up 0.002 over the period, from 0.011. Range 0.009 to 0.030. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0188484
0.019332416
0.02219435
0.02620455
0.02725480
0.0321,0001,480
0.0346052,085
0.0491192,204
0.050782,282
0.06172,289
0.075402,329
0.0761592,488

Spread0.010Mid0.013

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0081,9951,995
0.0071,1503,145
0.0031053,250
0.0021,0564,306
0.0017,35911,665

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9921,9951,995
0.9931,1503,145
0.9971053,250
0.9981,0564,306
0.9997,35911,665

Spread0.010Mid0.987

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9828484
0.981332416
0.97819435
0.97420455
0.97325480
0.9681,0001,480
0.9666052,085
0.9511192,204
0.950782,282
0.93972,289
0.925402,329
0.9241592,488

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0x2b670A311561DcAF741D8155451774D3Fa7fb814-1778467735876Yes11,666.87
maladecYes7,003.01
0x75772c0fad8BB3EeFb12bAe32EeF8a58e7EE8fB9-1771157190403Yes3,619.83
svdv1Yes2,188.18
m3t64 - 815Yes1,861.29
balthazarYes1,721.42
zhou666Yes1,029
grothYes905.13
suoha518Yes885
387411007415611814092217897387Yes827.18
bai1281Yes801.09
gldxYes621.11
OnYesYesYes605.4
FlvxkoYes595.5
LornaPredictsYes555.95
BBBBBB886Yes489.2
thecaricatureYes332.24
0xd787…7c12Yes278.94
WorkingIsBadYes224.48
OlkaYes219.08

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
14:58:28SELLYes0.00950$0.45
20:47:24SELLNo0.98220$19.64
19:03:37BUYYes0.0167727316210$3.52
11:54:55SELLYes0.00828$0.23
08:20:28SELLYes0.00923$0.21
08:20:28SELLYes0.00836$0.29
08:20:28SELLYes0.00910$0.09
14:50:36BUYYes0.0250$1.00
10:06:45BUYNo0.9841$1.00
10:03:03BUYNo0.9878$7.90
10:02:51BUYNo0.98733$32.32
10:02:39BUYNo0.98715$15.07
10:02:31BUYNo0.98615$14.52
10:02:28BUYNo0.98615$15.00
10:02:28BUYNo0.98690$88.74
10:02:24BUYNo0.98539908433$32.27
10:02:18BUYNo0.98452$51.20
09:01:45SELLNo0.98215$14.48
22:16:34SELLYes0.0161$0.02
21:58:06SELLYes0.0160$0.00
21:44:55SELLYes0.0160$0.01
21:44:03SELLYes0.0161$0.01
21:42:19SELLYes0.0160$0.00
18:27:16BUYNo0.98520$19.70
18:27:16BUYNo0.9868$7.89