PolyBot

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Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2028-01-01

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.051. down 0.009 over the period, from 0.059. Range 0.024 to 0.063. 150 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.051126126
0.063176302
0.06483385
0.06583468
0.06684552
0.07787639
0.081121760
0.08937797
0.09030827
0.09140867
0.09312879
0.0983001,179

Spread0.001Mid0.051

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0509,9879,987
0.04815710,144
0.04723010,374
0.04616710,541
0.04517210,713
0.04417510,888
0.0349710,985
0.02439411,380
0.02219111,571
0.0191011,581
0.0181,95013,531
0.0171,25914,790

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9509,9879,987
0.95215710,144
0.95323010,374
0.95416710,541
0.95517210,713
0.95617510,888
0.9669710,985
0.97639411,380
0.97819111,571
0.9811011,581
0.9821,95013,531
0.9831,25914,790

Spread0.001Mid0.950

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.949126126
0.937176302
0.93683385
0.93583468
0.93484552
0.92387639
0.919121760
0.91137797
0.91030827
0.90940867
0.90712879
0.9023001,179

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
OndraYes10,828.19
0x75772c0fad8BB3EeFb12bAe32EeF8a58e7EE8fB9-1771157190403Yes7,392.82
maladecYes7,003.01
PhongLeXBTYes6,477.76
svdv1Yes5,868.43
0x2b670A311561DcAF741D8155451774D3Fa7fb814-1778467735876Yes5,121.88
balthazarYes4,606.67
0xFFAedEa5699dC2BCbCA0ac466e4bB4cf111d5C98-1781442354502Yes4,571.22
YubingbingYes4,079.6
rebotsliafYes3,333
SnapElectionAvoiderYes2,753.19
BigRabbitYes2,499.99
heisenberg12Yes2,411.75
xtxpleasecallmeYes1,947.99
m3t64 - 815Yes1,861.29
bobj30888Yes1,610.41
NetpantsYes1,531.89
alfredwaringYes1,394.91
0x9996…bda1Yes1,375.09
LornaPredictsYes1,295.93

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
02:59:58BUYNo0.952$2.00
02:59:57BUYNo0.953$2.71
02:59:57BUYNo0.953$2.49
02:59:57BUYNo0.951$1.29
02:59:57BUYNo0.952$1.56
02:59:57BUYNo0.952$1.89
20:31:25SELLYes0.04974$3.64
20:31:18BUYNo0.9457427402183$173.26
20:29:39BUYNo0.93916$15.02
20:29:39BUYNo0.93914$13.52
20:06:06BUYNo0.94550$47.25
20:06:06BUYNo0.94543$41.00
20:06:03BUYNo0.94525$23.63
18:48:48SELLYes0.06220$1.24
17:21:01BUYYes0.061999997116$1.00
16:03:09SELLYes0.06270$4.37
15:57:15SELLYes0.06220$1.24
15:56:12SELLNo0.93710$9.35
15:55:51BUYNo0.937999998210$9.39
15:45:48SELLNo0.93710$9.35
15:45:03BUYNo0.937999998210$9.39
14:53:54SELLNo0.93710$9.35
14:53:28BUYNo0.937999998210$9.39
14:40:07SELLNo0.93710$9.35
14:39:24BUYNo0.937999998210$9.39