svdv1
0xfd289faeede83f5ffd3cdb9d45c149f1ee0f94d4
- Realised P&L
- $697.35
- Volume
- $160.9k
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $3.8k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration77.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.153 | 0.219 | $2.9k | +$859.61 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? · Yes | 0.081 | 0.106 | $654.19 | +$154.19 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? · Yes | 0.044 | 0.051 | $296.36 | +$38.38 |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.201 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.067 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$75.00 |
| Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.089 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$75.00 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? · Yes | 0.043 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.60 |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.064 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$65.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.1kat 0.430Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$820.76at 0.071Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
- +$43.96at 0.695Will Trump announce TikTok deal by Thursday?
- +$33.74at 0.146Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?
- +$-3.61at 0.320Will Nicușor Dan win by 0–6%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-22 23:30 | Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.057028122 | $200.00 |
| 10-22 22:50 | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.0813981325 | $500.00 |
| 10-22 22:49 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1543937958 | $1.2k |
| 10-22 22:41 | Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.0460722006 | $7.98 |
| 10-22 22:39 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1513668894 | $800.00 |
| 09-25 13:12 | Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.63 | $44.99 |
| 09-25 13:08 | Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.07 | $10.77 |
| 09-24 12:10 | Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.1299999999 | $20.00 |
| 09-24 12:10 | Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.1399999989 | $10.00 |
| 09-12 12:59 | Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.022849997 | $50.00 |
| 09-11 13:57 | Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.0636407702 | $65.00 |
| 09-11 13:56 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.8571245367 | $899.61 |
| 03-17 13:31 | Netanyahu out by March 31? | BUY | 0.0429999982 | $22.60 |
| 03-17 13:30 | Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives by June 30? | SELL | 0.0480931915 | $22.60 |
| 02-11 10:10 | Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.2014438715 | $100.00 |