PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

svdv1

0xfd289faeede83f5ffd3cdb9d45c149f1ee0f94d4

Realised P&L
$697.35
Volume
$160.9k
Markets traded
36
Open portfolio
$3.8k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded36
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration77.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample27 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)14.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration75.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.1530.219$2.9k+$859.61
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0810.106$654.19+$154.19
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0440.051$296.36+$38.38
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.2010.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0670.000$0.00−$75.00
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0890.000$0.00−$75.00
Netanyahu out by March 31? · Yes0.0430.000$0.00−$22.60
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00−$50.00
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0640.000$0.00−$65.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-22 23:30Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.057028122$200.00
10-22 22:50Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.0813981325$500.00
10-22 22:49Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.1543937958$1.2k
10-22 22:41Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.0460722006$7.98
10-22 22:39Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.1513668894$800.00
09-25 13:12Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?SELL0.63$44.99
09-25 13:08Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?SELL0.07$10.77
09-24 12:10Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?BUY0.1299999999$20.00
09-24 12:10Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?BUY0.1399999989$10.00
09-12 12:59Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.022849997$50.00
09-11 13:57Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.0636407702$65.00
09-11 13:56Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.8571245367$899.61
03-17 13:31Netanyahu out by March 31?BUY0.0429999982$22.60
03-17 13:30Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives by June 30?SELL0.0480931915$22.60
02-11 10:10Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.2014438715$100.00