PolyBot

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Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of December 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-01
Rewards
20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.52. up 0.04 over the period, from 0.48. Range 0.48 to 0.56. 151 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.54538538
0.55267804
0.5880884
0.5920904
0.601021,006
0.63301,036
0.66401,076
0.76201,096
0.8151,101
0.8561,107
0.86201,127
0.87201,147

Spread0.04Mid0.52

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.50551551
0.49240791
0.4820811
0.2030841
0.1240881
0.10100981
0.02201,001
0.01101,011

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.50551551
0.51240791
0.5220811
0.8030841
0.8840881
0.90100981
0.98201,001
0.99101,011

Spread0.04Mid0.48

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.46538538
0.45267804
0.4280884
0.4120904
0.401021,006
0.37301,036
0.34401,076
0.24201,096
0.1951,101
0.1561,107
0.14201,127
0.13201,147

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
X-Rabbit.SezuYes218.05
SingletonFamilyFundYes169.61
molodoyyYes141
bmtrYes134.14
SheehaveYes98.3
youtube-traderYes39
0x04B3F873B003eba3774dF1E5e47A370d27Ee1B7E-1774574222951Yes30.8
xtxpleasecallmeYes25.27
29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.Yes20
asdfdd123Yes10
0xa5ef…2966No708.06
he1nzNo38.46
pootytherewardfarmerNo31.15
HOSOBEARNo20
HosoTraderNo20
SlackjawNo20
cigarettesNo20
yudi4545No20
lissartterNo6.31
fragilehandsNo1.24

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
22:47:30BUYNo0.4620$9.20
22:33:19BUYYes0.5320$10.60
18:10:43BUYNo0.4620$9.20
17:58:21BUYNo0.4220$8.40
17:58:21BUYYes0.5420$10.80
17:58:21BUYYes0.5340$21.20
17:58:21SELLYes0.511$0.32
17:42:30SELLYes0.511$0.32
18:58:36BUYYes0.5220$10.29
15:45:28BUYNo0.4920$9.80
15:45:28BUYNo0.4640$18.51
15:20:07SELLNo0.431$0.34
14:54:58BUYYes0.5519$10.45
14:54:58BUYYes0.5260$31.20
13:20:06BUYYes0.520$10.00
01:07:01BUYNo0.5120$10.20
01:07:01BUYNo0.47138$64.94
01:07:01BUYNo0.479999991920$9.50
01:07:01BUYNo0.479$4.23
06:57:08SELLYes0.5422$12.10
06:56:56SELLYes0.5419$10.15
06:56:52SELLNo0.4519$8.44
21:54:44BUYNo0.4760$28.20
21:26:19SELLNo0.450$0.11
20:57:46BUYYes0.4923729653170$83.51