PolyBot

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Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-01
Rewards
50 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.45. down 0.39 over the period, from 0.84. Range 0.42 to 0.86. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.46399399
0.47147545
0.4810555
0.496121,168
0.501371,305
0.511961,501
0.541001,601
0.5551,606
0.58451,651
0.64901,741
0.654002,141
0.66752,216

Spread0.02Mid0.45

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.44817817
0.43161978
0.411951,173
0.407401,913
0.39631,976
0.32201,996
0.31402,036
0.302002,236
0.271002,336
0.263002,636
0.21202,656
0.202502,906

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.56817817
0.57161978
0.591951,173
0.607401,913
0.61631,976
0.68201,996
0.69402,036
0.702002,236
0.731002,336
0.743002,636
0.79202,656
0.802502,906

Spread0.02Mid0.55

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.54399399
0.53147545
0.5210555
0.516121,168
0.501371,305
0.491961,501
0.461001,601
0.4551,606
0.42451,651
0.36901,741
0.354002,141
0.34752,216

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
bmtrYes669.36
qqtuzonYes586.68
code.upYes582.4
vtxYes500
0x241F...e15aYes452.69
wong22Yes300
uangYes260
samuvYes203.82
donthackmeYes200.39
SlayerHYes200
liuhiyiYes200
wwonYes157.12
DapsyYes150
zubajie88Yes140
superadminYes135.8
liuyiming588Yes120
bridling520Yes120
0x40fe57965a53d6efde2C678b8B442bB76c3a3bFd-1760950579476Yes110
zhangyihan828Yes100
yiyiwongYes100

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
06:19:30BUYNo0.5632$17.92
06:19:30BUYNo0.5630$16.80
05:23:47SELLYes0.4743$20.21
04:05:51BUYNo0.517$3.32
04:05:51BUYNo0.5180$40.80
04:05:51BUYNo0.503526092570$35.00
04:05:51BUYNo0.5110$5.10
04:05:51BUYNo0.530$15.00
03:55:32BUYNo0.530$15.00
03:51:44BUYNo0.530$15.00
03:51:44BUYNo0.510$5.00
03:51:44BUYNo0.510$5.00
03:48:47BUYNo0.550$25.00
03:11:26SELLNo0.4950$24.50
01:43:24BUYYes0.49178$87.41
01:43:05BUYYes0.4850$24.00
01:43:03BUYYes0.47304$142.97
01:40:24SELLNo0.5330$15.90
00:50:24SELLNo0.5330$15.90
00:32:24BUYNo0.58999984662$1.00
00:32:23BUYYes0.4906289864204$100.00
23:47:42BUYNo0.5036239762138$69.48
23:47:42BUYNo0.5838$22.04
23:47:42BUYNo0.564125$70.50
23:47:41BUYNo0.552$26.02