zhangyihan828
0x2b1cf8356f35501514cc61ad7e8aa2b02ac51a25
- Realised P&L
- $441.22
- Volume
- $12.5k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $218.30
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)87.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes | 0.705 | 0.545 | $109.00 | −$32.00 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes | 0.749 | 0.270 | $64.80 | −$114.90 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.445 | $44.50 | −$6.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$172.17at 0.446Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
- +$71.41at 0.937Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
- +$59.10at 0.936Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
- +$53.33at 0.831Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$49.73at 0.918Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-05 02:48 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $103.20 |
| 09-05 02:47 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.76 | $114.00 |
| 09-05 02:45 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.62 | $93.00 |
| 05-01 13:44 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? | BUY | 0.783 | $58.73 |
| 05-01 03:33 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.51 | $56.10 |
| 05-01 03:32 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $52.20 |
| 03-16 14:45 | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | SELL | 0.48 | $52.80 |