yiyiwong
0xd765b0f82c75afcef645d29c64c91345141d8528
- Realised P&L
- $486.35
- Volume
- $12.4k
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $454.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)93.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes | 0.638 | 0.545 | $272.50 | −$46.50 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes | 0.588 | 0.270 | $136.28 | −$160.41 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.445 | $44.50 | −$5.50 |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.026 | $0.98 | −$9.94 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$199.89at 0.468Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
- +$95.07at 0.946Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
- +$39.29at 0.834Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$31.55at 0.929Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
- +$25.50at 0.517Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-05 03:06 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $42.70 |
| 05-01 04:39 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.51 | $58.65 |
| 05-01 04:37 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? | BUY | 0.796 | $39.80 |
| 05-01 04:31 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.51 | $6.12 |
| 03-15 06:07 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | SELL | 0.49 | $4.88 |