0x40fe57965a53d6efde2C678b8B442bB76c3a3bFd-1760950579476
0x40fe57965a53d6efde2c678b8b442bb76c3a3bfd
- Realised P&L
- $-4.0k
- Volume
- $378.4k
- Markets traded
- 417
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded417
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$854.47at 0.579No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
- +$279.95at 0.249Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
- +$137.43at 0.651Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
- +$121.19at 0.507Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?
- +$93.75at 0.320Will the government shutdown end November 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 16:26 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.2999999925 | $20.00 |
| 08-02 16:03 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999741 | $20.00 |
| 08-02 15:57 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5899999947 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 15:56 | Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.149999976 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 15:55 | Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.1299999789 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 15:54 | Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.1399999787 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 15:54 | Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.149999976 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 15:43 | Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.1399999787 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 15:43 | Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.1299999789 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 15:42 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.1199999899 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 15:38 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | BUY | 0.5199999952 | $35.00 |
| 08-01 16:51 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.8799999983 | $500.00 |
| 08-01 07:41 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.16 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 07:40 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.16 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 07:38 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.15 | $15.00 |