PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

superadmin

0x3612c9e7196d3c10a52b2cbfd57fffb97a157f0e

Realised P&L
$11.01
Volume
$1.2k
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$60.43

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration61.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? · Yes0.8030.445$60.43−$48.57
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? · No0.5300.000$0.00−$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 08:11Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?BUY0.802636363$109.00
08-13 03:38Ethereum Up or Down - August 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ETBUY0.86$5.00
08-13 03:38Ethereum Up or Down - August 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ETBUY0.86$5.00
04-29 02:57Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?BUY0.64$20.00
04-28 15:09Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?SELL0.98$97.52
04-21 08:43Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?BUY0.69$68.66
04-21 08:41Will US crude oil reserves fall to 400M by June 5?SELL0.032068$1.60
04-12 08:42Will US crude oil reserves fall to 400M by June 5?BUY0.34$9.16
04-11 13:31Will there be fewer than 3 major space weather events this week?BUY0.985$29.55
03-26 10:15Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?BUY0.8299999912$81.67
02-27 06:16US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?SELL0.45$22.50
02-25 11:44Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY0.94$55.62
02-25 09:31US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?BUY0.4$10.00
02-25 09:31US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?BUY0.4$10.00
02-25 09:12US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?BUY0.5299999883$20.00