superadmin
0x3612c9e7196d3c10a52b2cbfd57fffb97a157f0e
- Realised P&L
- $11.01
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $60.43
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? · Yes | 0.803 | 0.445 | $60.43 | −$48.57 |
| US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? · No | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.75at 0.690Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
- +$10.96at 0.649Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
- +$3.55at 0.940Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
- +$2.50at 0.400US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$1.53at 0.868Ethereum Up or Down - August 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 08:11 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.802636363 | $109.00 |
| 08-13 03:38 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET | BUY | 0.86 | $5.00 |
| 08-13 03:38 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET | BUY | 0.86 | $5.00 |
| 04-29 02:57 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $20.00 |
| 04-28 15:09 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | SELL | 0.98 | $97.52 |
| 04-21 08:43 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | BUY | 0.69 | $68.66 |
| 04-21 08:41 | Will US crude oil reserves fall to 400M by June 5? | SELL | 0.032068 | $1.60 |
| 04-12 08:42 | Will US crude oil reserves fall to 400M by June 5? | BUY | 0.34 | $9.16 |
| 04-11 13:31 | Will there be fewer than 3 major space weather events this week? | BUY | 0.985 | $29.55 |
| 03-26 10:15 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | BUY | 0.8299999912 | $81.67 |
| 02-27 06:16 | US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.45 | $22.50 |
| 02-25 11:44 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $55.62 |
| 02-25 09:31 | US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $10.00 |
| 02-25 09:31 | US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $10.00 |
| 02-25 09:12 | US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.5299999883 | $20.00 |