qqtuzon
0x9cb41efa8d5db9b391278cac1789e8f49e56c867
- Realised P&L
- $388.02
- Volume
- $5.4k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $457.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration34.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.445 | $261.07 | −$196.54 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.545 | $196.70 | −$45.11 |
| Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.57 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$134.06at 0.737Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
- +$96.20at 0.672Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
- +$60.13at 0.882Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
- +$48.51at 0.880Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
- +$47.50at 0.872Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 08:01 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.7799999999 | $457.61 |
| 09-21 07:59 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.9856471642 | $456.88 |
| 09-03 03:27 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.874719899 | $300.00 |
| 08-03 05:51 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $106.10 |
| 08-03 05:50 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.95 | $106.93 |
| 07-17 09:38 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.67 | $87.12 |
| 07-17 09:35 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $105.60 |
| 07-17 09:33 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $91.35 |
| 07-17 09:29 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $105.78 |
| 07-17 09:29 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | SELL | 0.9824422396 | $590.63 |
| 07-02 06:03 | Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.55 | $5.57 |
| 07-02 06:00 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $217.26 |
| 05-18 17:55 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.741 | $32.33 |
| 05-18 17:53 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | SELL | 0.9187628317 | $362.48 |
| 04-30 07:56 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | BUY | 0.67 | $13.57 |