PolyBot

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Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-01
Rewards
20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.27. up 0.07 over the period, from 0.20. Range 0.14 to 0.33. 80 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.28240240
0.4910250
0.5056306
0.5570376
0.5620396
0.5750446
0.6050496
0.6140536
0.6520556
0.66130686
0.67151837
0.6840877

Spread0.03Mid0.27

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.255353
0.202073
0.152093
0.1423116
0.04100216
0.0360276
0.02100376
0.0110386

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.755353
0.802073
0.852093
0.8623116
0.96100216
0.9760276
0.98100376
0.9910386

Spread0.03Mid0.73

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.72240240
0.5110250
0.5056306
0.4570376
0.4420396
0.4350446
0.4050496
0.3940536
0.3520556
0.34130686
0.33151837
0.3240877

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
x1099Yes189.99
tradetosurvive1Yes33
ImSweatingYes20
mangosteinYes20
0x5F3ee9c40Be255D1C18cA38bf4Ab94b564C75337-1776862065527Yes20
pootytherewardfarmerYes11.71
Tallguy2527Yes9
HosoTraderYes2
AJSVNo132
0xa5ef…2966No88.7
marketmakereNo20
29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.No20
nichodinoNo20
GuyFromTinderNo18
radeksaturkaNo7

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
16:42:01SELLYes0.2520$5.00
16:41:49SELLYes0.266363636455$14.65
14:20:55SELLYes0.32150$48.00
14:20:55BUYNo0.7120$14.20
13:41:11BUYYes0.2726$7.02
13:40:55BUYYes0.275$1.35
13:40:34SELLNo0.7420$14.80
13:40:32BUYYes0.2430801688237$57.61
13:18:55SELLNo0.7620$15.20
13:18:53BUYYes0.202105263295$19.20
12:43:19SELLYes0.1920$3.80
12:26:14BUYYes0.2120$4.20
12:23:38SELLYes0.1620$3.20
12:23:17BUYNo0.7662$47.12
12:23:17SELLYes0.2420$4.80
12:22:43SELLYes0.2420$4.80
12:22:37SELLYes0.2420$4.80
12:22:34SELLYes0.2775425331370$102.77
12:22:32BUYNo0.7420$14.80
12:22:32BUYNo0.7420$14.80
23:17:23BUYNo0.6812$7.96
07:32:05SELLNo0.7540$30.00
06:41:51SELLNo0.7522$16.50
05:54:59SELLNo0.7520$15.00
03:36:47SELLNo0.7520$15.00