PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-01
Rewards
40 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.37. up 0.14 over the period, from 0.23. Range 0.23 to 0.41. 38 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.38246246
0.4620266
0.5320286
0.5830316
0.7320336
0.8325361
0.8486447
0.8530477
0.8760537
0.9050587
0.9714601
0.981,1511,752

Spread0.02Mid0.37

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.36131131
0.3441172
0.2931203
0.28138341
0.2733374
0.2530404
0.2329433
0.0919452
0.087111,163
0.071131,276
0.065001,776
0.01201,796

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.64131131
0.6641172
0.7131203
0.72138341
0.7333374
0.7530404
0.7729433
0.9119452
0.927111,163
0.931131,276
0.945001,776
0.99201,796

Spread0.02Mid0.63

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.62246246
0.5420266
0.4720286
0.4230316
0.2720336
0.1725361
0.1686447
0.1530477
0.1360537
0.1050587
0.0314601
0.021,1511,752

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
1in1000Yes407.13
pootytherewardfarmerYes64.4
tradetosurvive1Yes50.01
0x5F3ee9c40Be255D1C18cA38bf4Ab94b564C75337-1776862065527Yes32.66
marketmakereYes19.34
palochkaYes12
jozeslemsekYes11.06
nichodinoYes3
hih999Yes2
sdfsdfsdfsdf2No243
0xa5ef…2966No116.9
AJSVNo83.06
galhammermanNo31
0x4629…f3b1No30
jhuusNo22
kannoken0No20
yudi4545No20
boofaNo19.66
GuyFromTinderNo16

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
17:05:45SELLNo0.6320$12.60
17:05:45BUYYes0.3720$7.40
15:41:24BUYNo0.663$1.98
15:35:17BUYNo0.652$1.29
14:30:30BUYNo0.665$3.31
14:15:44BUYNo0.659999972210$6.65
14:14:38SELLYes0.3590$31.50
14:14:06BUYNo0.649999984910$6.44
14:14:06BUYNo0.6510$6.44
14:14:06BUYNo0.649999991512$7.66
13:59:03BUYNo0.655$3.24
13:18:53BUYYes0.389999992817$6.51
13:13:41BUYYes0.3597$33.84
13:09:30BUYNo0.6919$13.34
13:09:29BUYNo0.6819$13.15
13:09:15BUYNo0.6819$13.15
13:09:12BUYNo0.6619$12.76
13:08:59BUYNo0.6619$12.76
13:08:41BUYNo0.6519$12.57
13:08:38SELLYes0.3649889135180$65.84
13:08:38BUYNo0.6520$13.00
12:12:33BUYNo0.6520$13.00
12:12:23SELLYes0.38190$72.16
12:12:21BUYNo0.6418$11.60
12:12:21BUYNo0.6433$21.04