kannoken0
0x5ec03df6baa9571d5756b2e7edc74b117630ef3a
- Realised P&L
- $-5.24
- Volume
- $210.00
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $15.68
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026? · No | 0.730 | 0.630 | $12.60 | −$2.00 |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.135 | $2.70 | −$2.70 |
| Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.790 | 0.007 | $0.38 | −$39.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.40at 0.640Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?
- +$-1.04at 0.430Will 2026 rank between 7th and 9th among the highest domestic box office years?
- +$-3.80at 0.670Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 17:05 | Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.49 | $9.80 |
| 10-01 05:42 | Will 2026 rank between 7th and 9th among the highest domestic box office years? | SELL | 0.39 | $7.80 |