PolyBot

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Will Anthropic be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-01
Resolves by
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent
Rewards
20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.23. up 0.02 over the period, from 0.21. Range 0.13 to 0.32. 151 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.274040
0.312060
0.4575135
0.4620155
0.488163
0.5445208
0.55100308
0.61100408
0.6220428
0.83300728
0.84216944
0.874301,374

Spread0.07Mid0.24

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.208080
0.1320100
0.1217117
0.1020137
0.06100237
0.05120357
0.04200557
0.025051,062
0.011,0552,117

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.808080
0.8720100
0.8817117
0.9020137
0.94100237
0.95120357
0.96200557
0.985051,062
0.991,0552,117

Spread0.07Mid0.77

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.734040
0.692060
0.5575135
0.5420155
0.528163
0.4645208
0.45100308
0.39100408
0.3820428
0.17300728
0.16216944
0.134301,374

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0xAee81145AC62f5f1cb1Yes835.09
FihdrzgddYes120
xtxpleasecallmeYes79.26
e46m3Yes22.8
pootytherewardfarmerYes22.44
0x7aa4…c822Yes4.98
Dr.PNLYes4.11
Numitus1994Yes1.12
0xa5ef…2966No928.67
gfdgfvfvssddNo35.8
GingerMcKennaNo20.02
29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.No20.01
youtube-traderNo20
CarabaoNo20
GuyFromTinderNo10.54
lissartterNo10
bbd113dNo10
ddaasdfNo10
0x2B733d127F58809eCF9917100A7F7A946F6F174E-1774267513940No4.44

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
16:00:36BUYYes0.2620$5.20
23:45:55BUYNo0.7747$36.19
23:35:16BUYNo0.7320$14.60
18:30:09SELLYes0.2760$16.20
16:15:21BUYNo0.7625$19.00
16:15:09BUYYes0.2760$16.20
03:27:13SELLYes0.2531$7.75
00:31:18BUYNo0.7510$7.50
18:12:27SELLYes0.2620$5.22
18:10:52SELLYes0.2744$11.88
18:07:06BUYYes0.2720$5.40
16:36:27SELLNo0.734$2.99
16:36:18SELLNo0.7316$11.61
16:36:16SELLNo0.7316$11.61
16:36:12SELLNo0.7324$17.59
16:22:49BUYYes0.2720$5.40
16:22:49SELLNo0.7460$44.40
16:22:49BUYYes0.2720$5.40
16:02:03BUYNo0.7920$15.80
16:00:09BUYYes0.1486550027732$108.76
16:00:09BUYYes0.185$0.90
16:00:09BUYYes0.202580$16.20
21:16:19BUYNo0.865$4.30
21:05:06SELLYes0.161$0.10
21:05:04BUYNo0.831225$4.16